Tue, Mar 29, 2016·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Florida Panthers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
31%
9%
9%
51%
FLA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:55 | 0.03 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.08 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:51 | 0.08 | 23.0% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:27 | 0.26 | 45.1% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.17 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.27 | 46.6% | +67.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.06 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.14 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.16 | 20.8% | +27.8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15:03 | 1.04 | 26.8% | +46.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.05 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.33 | 26.8% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.23 | 55.0% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:33 | 0.04 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.07 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 8.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.03 | 10.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.51 | +0.5 | 59:23 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:03 | 0.01 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:23 | 0.18 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.00 | 67.3% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.23 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.11 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.05 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:31 | 0.25 | 71.1% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.02 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:40 | 0.34 | 70.7% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.11 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:13 | 0.05 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.30 | 82.0% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.02 | 72.6% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.28 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:35 | 0.20 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:49 | 0.31 | 70.4% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:03 | 0.03 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:51 | 0.03 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.48 | −1.5 | 59:08 |