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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 31, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 85% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sparks
  3. P1 1:55Shot by Nelson, saved by Sparks
  4. P1 1:59Shot by Larsson, saved by Sparks
  5. P1 4:16Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Sparks
  6. P1 7:09Goal by Larsson (Gionta, Foligno)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · TOR Michalek, Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly

  7. P1 7:43Shot by Foligno, saved by Sparks
  8. P1 7:45Campbell: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · TOR Parenteau, Greening, Brennan, Campbell, Nylander

  9. P1 7:51Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks5v4
  10. P1 8:41Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Sparks5v4
  11. P1 8:59Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks5v4
  12. P1 11:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 12:15Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 13:17Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks
  15. P1 14:08Shot by Corrado, saved by Johnson
  16. P1 16:01Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 16:18Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks
  18. P1 16:40Shot by McCabe, saved by Sparks
  19. P1 17:45Shot by Fasching, saved by Sparks
  20. P1 17:53Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Sparks
  21. P1 18:12Corrado: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Girgensons, Fasching, Ristolainen, Eichel, Nelson · TOR Gardiner, Bozak, Corrado, Lindberg, Kapanen

  22. P1 19:05Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks5v4
  23. P1 19:41Goal by O'Reilly (Eichel, O'Reilly)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Grabner, Froese, Marincin, Rielly

  24. P1 19:55Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:39Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Sparks
  28. P2 2:49Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sparks
  29. P2 3:41Goal by O'Reilly (Legwand, Gorges)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, Moulson, O'Reilly, Ristolainen · TOR Boyes, Laich, Brennan, Gardiner, Froese

  30. P2 4:36Shot by Foligno, saved by Sparks
  31. P2 4:53Shot by Grabner, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 5:13Shot by Larsson, saved by Sparks
  33. P2 5:53Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks
  34. P2 7:09Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Sparks
  35. P2 7:19Shot by Foligno, saved by Sparks
  36. P2 7:31Brennan: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen · TOR Michalek, Grabner, Brennan, Campbell, Kadri

  37. P2 7:37Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Sparks5v4
  38. P2 7:53Shot by Grabner, saved by Johnson5v4
  39. P2 10:12Gorges: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Foligno, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR Michalek, Brennan, Campbell, Bozak, Kadri

  40. P2 11:19Shot by Kapanen, saved by Johnson4v5
  41. P2 11:36Shot by Parenteau, saved by Johnson4v5
  42. P2 11:44Shot by Parenteau, saved by Johnson4v5
  43. P2 12:21Shot by Gorges, saved by Sparks
  44. P2 12:26Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Sparks
  45. P2 13:32Goal by Laich (Lindberg, Corrado)+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Laich, Froese, Marincin, Rielly, Lindberg

  46. P2 14:17Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sparks
  47. P2 15:25Shot by Foligno, saved by Sparks
  48. P2 16:03Shot by Moulson, saved by Sparks
  49. P2 16:47Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  50. P2 17:16Shot by Pysyk, saved by Sparks
  51. P2 18:10Shot by Gionta, saved by Sparks
  52. P2 18:16Shot by Larsson, saved by Sparks
  53. P2 19:41Shot by Rielly, saved by Johnson
  54. P2 19:42Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  55. P2 19:43Shot by Froese, saved by Johnson
  56. P2 19:47Shot by Brennan, saved by Johnson
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:51Shot by Bozak, saved by Johnson
  60. P3 2:10Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Sparks
  61. P3 5:27Shot by Marincin, saved by Johnson
  62. P3 5:35Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  63. P3 7:26Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson
  64. P3 8:55Shot by Nelson, saved by Sparks
  65. P3 11:11Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson
  66. P3 12:05Shot by Brennan, saved by Johnson
  67. P3 12:17Nelson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Pysyk, Girgensons, Fasching, Nelson · TOR Bozak, Marincin, Rielly, Lindberg, Kapanen

  68. P3 12:51Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson4v5
  69. P3 13:15Shot by Boyes, saved by Johnson4v5
  70. P3 13:53Gardiner: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, Foligno, Ristolainen · TOR Parenteau, Greening, Gardiner, Nylander, Kapanen

  71. P3 16:42Shot by Gionta, saved by Sparks
  72. P3 16:47Foligno: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen · TOR Michalek, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Lindberg

  73. P3 18:47Shot by Parenteau, saved by Johnson5v6
  74. P3 18:48Shot by Kapanen, saved by Johnson5v6
  75. P3 19:57Goal by Larsson (McCabe, Bogosian)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · TOR Michalek, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Lindberg

  76. P3 19:57Kadri: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · TOR Michalek, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Lindberg

  77. P3 19:57Larsson: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · TOR Michalek, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Lindberg

  78. P3 19:57McCabe: Misconduct (10 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · TOR Michalek, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Lindberg

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final