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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 31, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 85% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000−1125:320.0388.4%0.0
Jake GardinerD · #51000−2123:110.1027.0%0.0
Martin MarincinD · #520000121:050.0272.5%0.0
Tobias LindbergRW · #460110018:380.1059.7%+6.1
Tyler BozakC · #42000−1117:550.1457.9%0.0
Frank CorradoD · #200110117:220.0236.3%+6.1
Milan MichalekLW · #18000−2017:150.1036.1%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #43000−2416:210.0637.5%0.0
Kasperi KapanenRW · #370000216:070.2836.3%0.0
Colin GreeningC · #380000515:580.4436.8%0.0
William NylanderRW · #390000015:480.0337.1%0.0
TJ BrennanD · #29000−1214:410.0339.9%0.0
Andrew CampbellD · #480000014:100.0025.3%0.0
PA ParenteauRW · #150000314:060.1218.5%0.0
Michael GrabnerLW · #40000−1213:550.0418.3%0.0
Byron FroeseC · #560000111:500.0182.9%0.0
Brooks LaichC · #231010111:290.1254.6%+6.1
Brad BoyesRW · #28000−1110:160.060.0%0.0
Garret Sparks#31L36333.9171.96−1.056:49

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus RistolainenD · #550000425:000.4349.1%0.0
Ryan O'ReillyC · #900110323:130.3276.6%+13.5
Zach BogosianD · #47011+2023:080.4083.3%+0.1
Jake McCabeD · #29011+2120:500.0252.7%+0.1
Josh GorgesD · #40110120:080.1465.2%+7.3
Jack EichelC · #15011−1618:120.3933.8%+13.5
Sam ReinhartC · #23000−1117:310.0221.8%0.0
Johan LarssonLW · #22202+2517:290.9065.3%+15.8
Marcus FolignoLW · #82011+2415:490.0857.1%+15.7
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280000214:530.1249.3%0.0
Brian GiontaRW · #12011+1214:010.6081.5%+15.7
Mark PysykD · #30000113:460.0134.4%0.0
Cal O'ReillyC · #19202+2313:120.20100.0%+20.8
Casey NelsonD · #340000212:300.0393.8%0.0
Nicolas DeslauriersLW · #440000012:290.0033.3%0.0
David LegwandC · #17011+1011:290.00100.0%+7.3
Hudson FaschingRW · #520000110:490.1850.6%0.0
Matt MoulsonLW · #26000019:320.0267.0%0.0
Chad Johnson#31W26251.9621.71+0.759:59