Thu, Mar 31, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 85% of the time.
79%
9%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:32 | 0.03 | 88.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:11 | 0.10 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.02 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.10 | 59.7% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.14 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.02 | 36.3% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.10 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:21 | 0.06 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.28 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:58 | 0.44 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 | 0.03 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.03 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:10 | 0.00 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:06 | 0.12 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.04 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.01 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.12 | 54.6% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.06 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 1.96 | −1.0 | 56:49 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:00 | 0.43 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:13 | 0.32 | 76.6% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:08 | 0.40 | 83.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.02 | 52.7% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.14 | 65.2% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 18:12 | 0.39 | 33.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.02 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:29 | 0.90 | 65.3% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:49 | 0.08 | 57.1% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.12 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.60 | 81.5% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.01 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:12 | 0.20 | 100.0% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.03 | 93.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 100.0% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.18 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:32 | 0.02 | 67.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 1.71 | +0.7 | 59:59 |