Thu, Mar 31, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 85% of the time.
79%
9%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bozak–Lindberg–Kapanen | Parenteau–Greening–Nylander | Michalek–Grabner–Kadri | Boyes–Laich–Froese | Michalek–Bozak–Kadri | Michalek–Greening–Nylander | Gardiner–Corrado | Marincin–Rielly | Brennan–Campbell | Gardiner–Rielly | Brennan–Gardiner | Campbell–Corrado | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | 1:040.00–0.06 | 1:310.21–0.02 | 6:540.25–0.02 | 3:460.15–0.02 | 2:420.04–0.00 | 2:240.27–0.00 | ||||||
| O'Reilly–Girgensons–Fasching | 8:560.29–0.15 | 0:440.00–0.03 | 3:430.14–0.10 | 2:170.01–0.00 | 2:090.14–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Deslauriers–Reinhart–Eichel | 5:260.03–0.06 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 2:520.01–0.03 | 3:130.02–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Legwand–Moulson–O'Reilly | 5:140.09–0.00 | 2:140.02–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.00 | 1:190.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Foligno–Deslauriers–Girgensons | 0:530.00–0.10 | |||||||||||
| O'Reilly–Reinhart–Eichel | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| O'Reilly–Girgensons–Eichel | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Bogosian–McCabe | 6:000.19–0.08 | 5:060.17–0.05 | 0:380.04–0.00 | 1:210.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 3:040.04–0.00 | 4:120.05–0.02 | 4:430.33–0.02 | 0:580.00–0.00 | |||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 2:100.06–0.13 | 1:390.00–0.01 | 8:040.21–0.06 | 1:020.05–0.00 | 0:430.01–0.10 | 6:530.21–0.12 | 3:030.00–0.12 | 2:400.06–0.12 | ||||
| Pysyk–Nelson | 2:150.01–0.02 | 1:340.18–0.00 | 3:190.03–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 2:080.02–0.00 | 3:250.01–0.00 | 2:220.19–0.02 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||
| Bogosian–Pysyk | 0:460.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 25:32 | 0:55 | 2:18 | 2 | 7 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 29 | 25:00 | 0:52 | 1:51 | 3 | 4 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 28 | 23:13 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 3 | 9 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 29 | 23:11 | 0:48 | 2:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 31 | 23:08 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 2 | 5 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 24 | 21:05 | 0:53 | 2:03 | 1 | 6 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 28 | 20:50 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 1 | 5 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 27 | 20:08 | 0:45 | 1:51 | 2 | 3 |
 Tobias LindbergTOR | 26 | 18:38 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 3 | 1 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 20 | 18:12 | 0:55 | 2:03 | 3 | 2 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 22 | 17:55 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 3 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 17:31 | 0:53 | 1:38 | 3 | 5 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 25 | 17:29 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 5 | 2 |
 Frank CorradoTOR | 25 | 17:22 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 0 | 2 |
 Milan MichalekTOR | 19 | 17:15 | 0:54 | 1:53 | 4 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 20 | 16:21 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 4 | 3 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 20 | 16:07 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Colin GreeningTOR | 19 | 15:58 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 21 | 15:49 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 15:48 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 22 | 14:53 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 2 | 2 |
 TJ BrennanTOR | 23 | 14:41 | 0:38 | 1:31 | 4 | 2 |
 Andrew CampbellTOR | 27 | 14:10 | 0:31 | 1:08 | 3 | 3 |
 PA ParenteauTOR | 20 | 14:06 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 22 | 14:01 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 4 | 2 |
 Michael GrabnerTOR | 21 | 13:55 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 21 | 13:46 | 0:39 | 1:43 | 4 | 4 |
 Cal O'ReillyBUF | 15 | 13:12 | 0:53 | 1:38 | 5 | 2 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 21 | 12:30 | 0:36 | 2:03 | 3 | 3 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 16 | 12:29 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 1 | 1 |
 Byron FroeseTOR | 20 | 11:50 | 0:36 | 1:09 | 2 | 3 |
 David LegwandBUF | 16 | 11:29 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 3 | 5 |
 Brooks LaichTOR | 18 | 11:29 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Hudson FaschingBUF | 15 | 10:49 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Brad BoyesTOR | 13 | 10:16 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 4 | 1 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 14 | 9:32 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 4 | 1 |