Thu, Oct 13, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 60% of the time.
30%
10%
9%
51%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 24:04 | 0.13 | 50.5% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:46 | 0.06 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.13 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.04 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:05 | 0.00 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 17:46 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.67 | 50.5% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.22 | 50.5% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:30 | 0.39 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:45 | 0.03 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.15 | 51.1% | +32.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:55 | 0.30 | 70.1% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.09 | 55.7% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.00 | 63.2% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.06 | 57.2% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.36 | 75.0% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.09 | 68.2% | +3.3 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.16 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 23:17 | 0.17 | 46.4% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:44 | 0.06 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:21 | 0.05 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:11 | 0.04 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:02 | 0.45 | 60.1% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.03 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.03 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.40 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.12 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.00 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.11 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.18 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:43 | 0.07 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.05 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 11:29 | 0.19 | 31.9% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:24 | 0.14 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.07 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.08 | −1.9 | 57:56 |