Thu, Oct 13, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 60% of the time.
30%
10%
9%
51%
BUF winsMTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pacioretty–Gallagher–Galchenyuk | Plekanec–Radulov–Lehkonen | Desharnais–Shaw–Carr | Mitchell–Byron–Danault | Radulov–Mitchell–Danault | Weber–Beaulieu | Markov–Pateryn | Emelin–Sergachev | Emelin–Pateryn | Weber–Emelin | Markov–Emelin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ennis–Foligno–Larsson | 2:540.11–0.22 | 1:510.04–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.07 | 0:490.00–0.05 | 4:090.09–0.23 | 3:040.06–0.11 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||
| O'Reilly–Kane–Reinhart | 3:040.06–0.01 | 1:420.04–0.00 | 1:090.02–0.09 | 3:120.04–0.00 | 2:290.02–0.08 | 0:480.06–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.02 | ||||
| Gionta–Grant–Deslauriers | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:340.00–0.11 | 2:340.12–0.24 | 1:040.00–0.11 | 2:200.11–0.08 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.03 | 0:470.01–0.00 | |||
| Moulson–Girgensons–Fasching | 2:410.09–0.45 | 1:150.00–0.03 | 1:350.09–0.42 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||
| O'Reilly–Girgensons–Reinhart | 1:100.00–0.00 | 2:160.22–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kane–Foligno–Larsson | 1:300.12–0.00 | 0:470.12–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Moulson–O'Reilly–Reinhart | 0:430.00–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Gionta–O'Reilly–Deslauriers | 0:310.00–0.19 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 0:540.00–0.19 | ||||||||
| Deslauriers–Girgensons–Fasching | 0:300.05–0.00 | 0:450.05–0.00 | |||||||||
| Ennis–O'Reilly–Fasching | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Bogosian–McCabe | 2:350.12–0.10 | 4:110.01–0.08 | 4:090.11–0.16 | 2:310.02–0.00 | 5:010.01–0.10 | 3:160.04–0.16 | 3:420.17–0.08 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.00 | ||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 5:430.11–0.31 | 2:490.10–0.07 | 1:200.01–0.14 | 1:070.01–0.09 | 5:190.33–0.32 | 4:390.08–0.26 | 2:400.05–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:430.02–0.00 | ||
| Franson–Nelson | 2:140.00–0.03 | 1:590.04–0.02 | 2:450.18–0.46 | 2:290.04–0.05 | 3:560.09–0.46 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:360.09–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.03 | |||
| Franson–Bogosian | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||
| Bogosian–Nelson | 0:470.12–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:510.12–0.00 | ||||||||
| Gorges–Franson | 0:310.00–0.19 | 1:030.00–0.19 | |||||||||
| Franson–McCabe | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Shea WeberMTL | 32 | 24:04 | 0:45 | 1:50 | 8 | 3 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 31 | 23:17 | 0:45 | 1:48 | 4 | 4 |
 Greg PaterynMTL | 28 | 22:46 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 3 | 4 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 24 | 22:44 | 0:57 | 2:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Andrei MarkovMTL | 28 | 22:35 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 4 | 3 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 29 | 22:21 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 5 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 30 | 22:11 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 6 | 2 |
 Alexei EmelinMTL | 28 | 21:07 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 3 | 7 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 23 | 21:02 | 0:55 | 2:28 | 4 | 2 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 24 | 18:56 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 4 | 3 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 28 | 18:06 | 0:39 | 1:39 | 1 | 2 |
 Tomas PlekanecMTL | 28 | 18:05 | 0:39 | 1:36 | 6 | 5 |
 Nathan BeaulieuMTL | 28 | 17:46 | 0:38 | 1:50 | 3 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 20 | 17:37 | 0:53 | 2:04 | 6 | 2 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 24 | 17:36 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 1 | 0 |
 Max PaciorettyMTL | 24 | 16:58 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex GalchenyukMTL | 23 | 16:43 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Artturi LehkonenMTL | 24 | 16:30 | 0:41 | 1:36 | 6 | 2 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 18 | 15:52 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 3 | 3 |
 Alexander RadulovMTL | 20 | 15:45 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 4 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 23 | 14:57 | 0:39 | 1:24 | 2 | 1 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 21 | 14:50 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 1 | 0 |
 Derek GrantBUF | 19 | 13:55 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 3 | 5 |
 Andrew ShawMTL | 23 | 13:55 | 0:36 | 1:00 | 5 | 5 |
 Paul ByronMTL | 21 | 12:56 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 2 | 6 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 14 | 12:43 | 0:55 | 2:04 | 3 | 0 |
 David DesharnaisMTL | 20 | 12:14 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 5 | 5 |
 Phillip DanaultMTL | 22 | 12:06 | 0:33 | 1:04 | 1 | 5 |
 Mikhail SergachevMTL | 17 | 11:48 | 0:42 | 1:00 | 1 | 3 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 18 | 11:47 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 18 | 11:39 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 17 | 11:29 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 5 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 14 | 11:24 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 1 | 3 |
 Torrey MitchellMTL | 19 | 11:04 | 0:35 | 0:55 | 1 | 5 |
 Daniel CarrMTL | 19 | 11:04 | 0:35 | 0:59 | 5 | 2 |
 Hudson FaschingBUF | 15 | 10:28 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 1 | 0 |