Thu, Oct 13, 2016·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Winnipeg Jets 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 55% of the time.
34%
10%
8%
47%
WPG winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 24:58 | 0.10 | 72.8% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:53 | 0.03 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:31 | 0.01 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.11 | 23.1% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.15 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:03 | 0.03 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.22 | 87.1% | +6.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 15:55 | 0.63 | 88.4% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 9.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15:11 | 0.83 | 83.9% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:48 | 0.19 | 31.5% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.14 | 51.5% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.11 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.04 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.06 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.02 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:49 | 0.23 | 80.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 2.55 | −2.5 | 62:41 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:41 | 0.13 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 23:50 | 0.00 | 52.4% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:41 | 0.05 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 22:30 | 0.28 | 26.5% | +98.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:09 | 0.30 | 22.7% | +45.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:07 | 0.26 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.16 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.07 | 46.4% | +60.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:15 | 0.44 | 41.0% | +14.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:56 | 0.48 | 51.7% | +46.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.22 | 75.2% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.07 | 8.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.02 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.02 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:07 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:54 | 0.01 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2:48 | 0.02 | 27.8% | +14.1 |
| W | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.91 | −1.1 | 62:25 |