Sat, Oct 15, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Boston Bruins 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
63%
10%
8%
19%
TOR winsBOS wins
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:17 | 0.11 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:30 | 0.07 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.01 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:49 | 0.03 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.24 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.26 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.00 | 26.8% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.01 | 72.8% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.17 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.19 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.02 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 14:19 | 0.25 | 30.9% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.05 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.03 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.01 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 9:43 | 0.14 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.84 | −1.2 | 59:42 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:04 | 0.03 | 79.8% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:26 | 0.03 | 55.9% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:08 | 0.00 | 38.4% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.00 | 45.5% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.01 | 78.7% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.34 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.04 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.08 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:41 | 0.55 | 75.0% | +3.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:25 | 0.51 | 62.7% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:19 | 0.20 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:43 | 0.19 | 54.2% | +13.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.33 | 65.1% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.05 | 57.1% | +18.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.27 | 43.1% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.06 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:30 | 0.15 | 55.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 1.65 | +0.6 | 60:00 |