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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 15, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Boston Bruins 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Boston Bruins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Torey KrugD · #470000323:170.1124.7%0.0
Brandon CarloD · #25000−1222:300.0752.7%0.0
Zdeno CharaD · #33000−2019:050.0126.7%0.0
Rob O'GaraD · #440000018:490.0339.0%0.0
David KrejciC · #460000118:100.2470.2%0.0
Ryan SpoonerC · #510000317:350.2659.8%0.0
Brad MarchandLW · #63011−1016:380.0026.8%+7.1
David BackesRW · #42000−1116:350.0319.0%0.0
John-Michael LilesD · #26011−2116:240.0172.8%+7.1
Matt BeleskeyLW · #39000−2116:080.1737.6%0.0
Riley NashC · #20000−1115:550.1974.0%0.0
Colin MillerD · #6000−3015:310.0234.8%0.0
David PastrnakRW · #88101−1614:190.2530.9%+7.1
Dominic MooreC · #28000−1114:110.0572.2%0.0
Danton HeinenLW · #430000113:560.0358.3%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #55000−1012:320.0070.4%0.0
Austin CzarnikC · #27000−2111:000.0116.6%0.0
Jimmy HayesRW · #11000−239:430.1420.3%0.0
Anton Khudobin#35L24204.8332.84−1.259:42

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44011+1021:040.0379.8%+3.3
Nikita ZaitsevD · #22011+2019:260.0355.9%+11.5
Jake GardinerD · #51011+2019:080.0038.4%+7.3
Matt HunwickD · #2011+1019:050.0045.5%+13.3
Martin MarincinD · #52011+1019:030.0178.7%+3.3
Connor CarrickD · #8000+1018:510.0035.1%0.0
Leo KomarovRW · #47000+1217:290.3481.2%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #340000216:510.0428.9%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #110000216:350.0837.1%0.0
Milan MichalekLW · #18101+1315:410.5575.0%+3.3
Mitch MarnerRW · #16101+2415:250.5162.7%+11.5
William NylanderRW · #290000315:190.2035.3%0.0
Peter HollandC · #24011+1314:430.1954.2%+13.3
James van RiemsdykLW · #25101+2213:580.3365.1%+7.3
Tyler BozakC · #42022+2013:310.0557.1%+18.8
Connor BrownRW · #12101+1113:160.2743.1%+13.3
Nazem KadriC · #43000+1112:160.0681.7%0.0
Matt MartinLW · #15000+1110:300.1555.9%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31W25241.9601.65+0.660:00