Sat, Oct 15, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Montréal Canadiens 3, Ottawa Senators 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 95% of the time.
92%
OTT winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29:27 | 0.13 | 19.5% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:46 | 0.00 | 21.9% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.12 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:00 | 0.31 | 31.8% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:59 | 0.10 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:23 | 0.13 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:00 | 0.11 | 17.0% | +41.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.02 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.01 | 13.5% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.13 | 16.7% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.00 | 6.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.00 | 13.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.01 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 0.24 | 25.6% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.04 | 8.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:59 | 0.00 | 17.7% | +31.3 |
| O | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 5.02 | +2.0 | 65:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30:37 | 0.13 | 76.4% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:12 | 0.03 | 87.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:05 | 0.18 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:49 | 0.90 | 88.4% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.10 | 88.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.22 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.01 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:49 | 0.61 | 87.1% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 17:54 | 1.29 | 86.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:00 | 0.12 | 70.1% | +42.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.02 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.00 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.33 | 79.0% | +42.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.06 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 11:45 | 0.06 | 90.4% | +25.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 9:03 | 0.54 | 77.6% | +56.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:06 | 0.11 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 5:44 | 0.30 | 63.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 1.36 | −1.6 | 65:00 |