Sat, Oct 15, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver
Dallas Stars 5, Colorado Avalanche 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.
68%
18%
COL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:54 | 0.01 | 56.3% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:24 | 0.00 | 52.7% | +11.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 21:06 | 0.14 | 23.9% | +17.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.31 | 40.6% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.02 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.23 | 41.4% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.08 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.09 | 42.4% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.17 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.03 | 27.3% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.12 | 41.0% | +19.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:57 | 0.15 | 42.9% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 12:41 | 0.64 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.20 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.09 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:45 | 0.08 | 35.7% | 0.0 |
| – | 20 | 15 | 5 | .750 | 2.00 | −3.0 | 27:05 | |
| L | 13 | 12 | 1 | .923 | 1.22 | +0.2 | 31:57 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 23:42 | 0.00 | 41.4% | +36.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.06 | 46.3% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:42 | 0.02 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:26 | 0.11 | 71.3% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:45 | 0.18 | 81.5% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.62 | 68.2% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:15 | 0.14 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.17 | 69.2% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 69.2% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:22 | 0.64 | 84.0% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.15 | 61.6% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:27 | 0.06 | 50.6% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.17 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.24 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.11 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12:59 | 0.97 | 17.1% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.13 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:48 | 0.07 | 11.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 2.35 | −2.7 | 60:00 |