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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 19, 2016·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Matthias, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:25Shot by Enstrom, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:22Shot by Wheeler, saved by Andersen6v5
  5. P1 1:41Marner: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Perreault, Scheifele, Morrissey, Laine · TOR Hunwick, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews

  6. P1 2:34Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen5v4
  7. P1 3:01Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen5v4
  8. P1 4:26Shot by Scheifele, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 4:56Shot by Tanev, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 6:36Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hutchinson
  11. P1 6:45Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hutchinson
  12. P1 6:46Goal by Carrick (van Riemsdyk, Marner)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Chiarot, Scheifele, Laine · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Carrick, Marner

  13. P1 7:01Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutchinson
  14. P1 9:24Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutchinson
  15. P1 10:02Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutchinson
  16. P1 16:12Goal by Kadri (Rielly, Michalek)+16 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Perreault, Morrissey, Ehlers, Tanev · TOR Michalek, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Carrick

  17. P1 17:46Shot by Holland, saved by Hutchinson
  18. P1 19:14Shot by Enstrom, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 19:37Shot by Armia, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P1 12:55Shot by Morrissey, saved by Andersen
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:01Shot by Morrissey, saved by Andersen
  24. P2 1:31Shot by Morrissey, saved by Andersen
  25. P2 1:37Shot by Enstrom, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 2:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutchinson
  27. P2 3:27Shot by Michalek, saved by Hutchinson
  28. P2 3:33Shot by Marincin, saved by Hutchinson
  29. P2 4:49Byfuglien: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Myers, Scheifele, Ehlers · TOR Hunwick, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  30. P2 5:40Shot by Nylander, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  31. P2 5:45Matthias: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Matthias, Myers, Lowry · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  32. P2 6:06Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hutchinson3v5
  33. P2 6:35Shot by Bozak, saved by Hutchinson3v5
  34. P2 6:40Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hutchinson3v5
  35. P2 6:47Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Zaitsev)3v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Chiarot, Scheifele, Morrissey · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  36. P2 6:55Goal by Kadri (Nylander, Komarov)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Chiarot, Armia, Tanev · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  37. P2 8:32Shot by Wheeler, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 8:33Shot by Wheeler, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 9:58Shot by Myers, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 10:05Hyman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Postma, Myers, Burmistrov, Laine · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews

  41. P2 11:20Shot by Perreault, saved by Andersen5v4
  42. P2 11:23Shot by Perreault, saved by Andersen5v4
  43. P2 11:27Shot by Connor, saved by Andersen5v4
  44. P2 13:04Goal by Myers (Scheifele, Matthias)+4 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Matthias, Myers, Scheifele · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner

  45. P2 13:55Shot by Marincin, saved by Hutchinson
  46. P2 15:18Shot by Enstrom, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 16:18Shot by Carrick, saved by Hutchinson
  48. P2 16:39Shot by Martin, saved by Hutchinson
  49. P2 16:50Shot by Holland, saved by Hutchinson
  50. P2 17:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutchinson
  51. P2 16:51Shot by Martin, saved by Hutchinson
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:00Goal by Laine (Byfuglien, Scheifele)+7 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Stafford, Scheifele, Morrissey, Laine · TOR Michalek, Komarov, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly

  55. P3 1:27Shot by Stafford, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 0:53Shot by Wheeler, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 1:52Shot by Martin, saved by Hutchinson
  58. P3 2:00Shot by Connor, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 2:07Shot by Enstrom, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 2:43Shot by Myers, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 2:47Shot by Wheeler, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 3:31Shot by Marincin, saved by Hutchinson
  63. P3 3:35Shot by Marner, saved by Hutchinson
  64. P3 5:03Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hutchinson
  65. P3 5:14Shot by Carrick, saved by Hutchinson
  66. P3 5:18Shot by Nylander, saved by Hutchinson
  67. P3 6:05Goal by Scheifele (Morrissey, Stafford)+18 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Stafford, Scheifele, Morrissey, Laine · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marincin, Rielly, Marner

  68. P3 9:51Shot by Matthias, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 10:27Shot by Holland, saved by Hutchinson
  70. P3 10:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutchinson
  71. P3 12:13Shot by Ehlers, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 12:27Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 14:22Shot by Marincin, saved by Hutchinson
  74. P3 14:26Shot by Marincin, saved by Hutchinson
  75. P3 16:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutchinson
  76. P3 16:58Shot by Hyman, saved by Hutchinson
  77. P3 16:59Shot by Hyman, saved by Hutchinson
  78. P3 19:00Rielly: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Perreault, Scheifele, Ehlers, Laine · TOR Michalek, Komarov, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly

  79. P3 19:05Goal by Laine (Ehlers)6v4+42 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Perreault, Scheifele, Ehlers, Laine · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Hyman, Carrick

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 0:52Shot by Komarov, saved by Hutchinson3v3
  83. OT 1:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hutchinson3v3
  84. OT 1:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutchinson3v3
  85. OT 2:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutchinson3v3
  86. OT 2:40Goal by Laine (Byfuglien)3v3+46 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Ehlers, Laine · TOR Marner, Matthews, Zaitsev

  87. OT 2:40Period end
  88. OT 2:40Final