Wed, Oct 19, 2016·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
25%
8%
60%
WPG winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 24:47 | 0.12 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:41 | 0.03 | 63.2% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 24:33 | 0.00 | 33.3% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 | 0.00 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 17:57 | 0.76 | 69.4% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.08 | 51.0% | +5.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16:54 | 0.40 | 46.9% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.31 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.20 | 73.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.03 | 46.9% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.29 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.11 | 46.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:41 | 0.35 | 46.9% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:46 | 0.15 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:24 | 0.33 | 79.4% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.08 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:38 | 0.22 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:18 | 0.29 | 68.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 2.76 | −2.2 | 62:40 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 27:02 | 0.13 | 44.3% | +52.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:44 | 0.13 | 60.6% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25:18 | 0.11 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.14 | 51.7% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:40 | 0.65 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.06 | 35.7% | +18.1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 18:48 | 0.36 | 51.8% | +94.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.45 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.25 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:41 | 0.21 | 38.8% | +41.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.02 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.02 | 25.6% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.05 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.13 | 51.7% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.05 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 3.76 | −0.2 | 61:59 |