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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 19, 2016·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hyman–Nylander–MatthewsMichalek–Komarov–Kadrivan Riemsdyk–Bozak–MarnerMartin–Holland–BrownMarincin–RiellyHunwick–ZaitsevGardiner–CarrickMarincin–ZaitsevGardiner–ZaitsevHunwick–Rielly
Wheeler–Scheifele–Laine1:000.04–0.061:190.00–0.084:350.67–0.415:280.67–0.120:440.06–0.000:400.00–0.130:380.04–0.00
Burmistrov–Armia–Connor1:560.06–0.000:420.02–0.004:410.10–0.411:230.02–0.083:170.07–0.002:280.09–0.32
Matthias–Lowry–Tanev1:010.05–0.003:130.04–0.030:390.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:590.01–0.001:540.00–0.030:500.00–0.000:480.08–0.000:480.02–0.15
Stafford–Perreault–Ehlers3:190.01–0.081:470.00–0.091:260.00–0.002:360.01–0.060:370.00–0.001:050.00–0.09
Wheeler–Perreault–Ehlers2:090.15–0.111:050.06–0.000:480.02–0.000:410.04–0.000:530.01–0.002:280.10–0.001:580.15–0.11
Stafford–Scheifele–Laine1:010.00–0.170:450.08–0.001:230.05–0.140:380.02–0.003:330.12–0.310:360.02–0.00
Matthias–Lowry–Armia1:420.09–0.001:580.09–0.000:560.00–0.02
Burmistrov–Connor–Tanev0:460.00–0.341:340.04–0.021:500.04–0.060:450.00–0.00
Scheifele–Tanev–Laine0:350.00–0.070:370.02–0.00
Enstrom–Myers6:090.20–0.364:390.08–0.053:340.03–0.052:260.02–0.046:430.03–0.285:430.13–0.085:180.15–0.150:580.02–0.00
Byfuglien–Morrissey4:190.06–0.346:410.25–0.273:270.10–0.152:300.04–0.087:450.19–0.577:010.20–0.010:570.00–0.001:070.06–0.021:050.00–0.09
Postma–Chiarot1:140.05–0.022:530.00–0.083:370.13–0.351:580.02–0.002:270.05–0.022:350.09–0.421:000.05–0.00
Byfuglien–Myers0:450.00–0.000:360.60–0.010:480.01–0.001:020.02–0.00
Byfuglien–Chiarot0:370.00–0.180:320.00–0.22
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndTanev FMatthias FLowry FLaine FScheifele FWheeler FPerreault FEhlers FConnor FStafford FArmia FBurmistrov FEnstrom DMyers DChiarot DPostma DByfuglien DMorrissey DHutchinson GMichalek FKadri FKomarov FMarner Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FHyman FMatthews FNylander FBrown FMartin FHolland FRielly DMarincin DZaitsev DHunwick DCarrick DGardiner DAndersen G
WPGTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dustin ByfuglienWPG2827:020:581:4831
Tyler MyersWPG3026:440:531:5633
Toby EnstromWPG3125:180:491:5245
Martin MarincinTOR3624:470:411:2529
Morgan RiellyTOR3924:410:381:2249
Nikita ZaitsevTOR3224:330:462:0955
Mark ScheifeleWPG2820:550:451:3343
Blake WheelerWPG2520:400:501:2724
Matt HunwickTOR3120:190:391:1337
Josh MorrisseyWPG2519:120:461:4734
Patrik LaineWPG2518:480:452:3222
Auston MatthewsTOR2017:570:541:4353
Leo KomarovTOR2817:520:381:2926
Nazem KadriTOR2616:540:391:2923
Mathieu PerreaultWPG1916:360:521:4354
Zach HymanTOR2116:300:471:5354
William NylanderTOR2016:300:502:0553
Milan MichalekTOR2315:390:411:2903
Kyle ConnorWPG1715:150:541:2241
Adam LowryWPG2015:060:451:5252
Tyler BozakTOR2114:490:421:1571
Mitch MarnerTOR2114:470:421:1761
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2014:410:441:2754
James van RiemsdykTOR2114:410:421:1571
Jake GardinerTOR2113:460:391:1331
Alexander BurmistrovWPG1513:380:551:1331
Drew StaffordWPG1913:330:431:0953
Connor CarrickTOR2313:240:351:1322
Joel ArmiaWPG1713:150:471:2632
Shawn MatthiasWPG1913:030:411:1542
Connor BrownTOR1712:500:451:0815
Peter HollandTOR1612:380:471:1514
Brandon TanevWPG1812:000:401:2040
Matt MartinTOR1611:180:421:1814
Ben ChiarotWPG1310:530:501:5114
Paul PostmaWPG108:540:531:3713