Thu, Oct 20, 2016·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Minnesota Wild 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
34%
11%
9%
46%
MIN winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:11 | 0.00 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:53 | 0.06 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.15 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:48 | 0.04 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.27 | 50.5% | +19.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:40 | 0.45 | 32.6% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.10 | 38.5% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.07 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:38 | 0.21 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 62.6% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.27 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.07 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.03 | 40.0% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.54 | 32.6% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.04 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:28 | 0.30 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:30 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.29 | −0.7 | 58:23 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 28:56 | 0.03 | 70.6% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:11 | 0.00 | 42.7% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:42 | 0.05 | 46.6% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.15 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.08 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.04 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 18:10 | 0.31 | 82.3% | +57.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 18:03 | 0.53 | 80.1% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:54 | 0.42 | 82.2% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.02 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.03 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.11 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.07 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.34 | 76.2% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 7:44 | 0.10 | 51.1% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:32 | 0.00 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.62 | +0.6 | 60:00 |