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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 25, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

7

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Hyman, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 1:19Goal by Stamkos (Sustr)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · TBL Garrison, Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Sustr

  4. P1 1:37Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:59Shot by Bozak, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 3:38Shot by Filppula, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 3:43Shot by Point, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 4:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 4:37Shot by Hyman, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 5:14Shot by Kadri, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 6:58Shot by Marner, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 7:13Shot by Coburn, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 7:15Goal by Killorn (Coburn, Point)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Nesterov, Point

  14. P1 7:35Shot by Carrick, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 8:10Shot by Drouin, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 9:57Shot by Holland, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 11:14Shot by Nylander, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 12:27Shot by Rielly, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 12:51Shot by Brown, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 16:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 17:12Goal by Stamkos (Sustr, Kucherov)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · TBL Garrison, Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Sustr

  22. P1 17:49Shot by Komarov, saved by Bishop
  23. P1 17:55Shot by Brown, saved by Bishop
  24. P1 19:39Shot by Carrick, saved by Bishop
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:16Filppula: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews · TBL Filppula, Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Point

  28. P2 0:34Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Bishop5v4
  29. P2 1:09Shot by Bozak, saved by Bishop5v4
  30. P2 1:57Shot by Nylander, saved by Bishop5v4
  31. P2 2:26Holland: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Matthews · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Nesterov, Brown

  32. P2 6:51Shot by Nylander, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 7:22Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 7:23Goal by Hedman (Stamkos, Kucherov)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov

  35. P2 9:11Shot by Rielly, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 11:31Shot by Hunwick, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 11:45Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 11:52Shot by Hunwick, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 12:10Shot by Coburn, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 12:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 13:22Shot by Holland, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 14:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 14:38Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bishop
  44. P2 16:13Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 16:18Shot by Garrison, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 17:41Nesterov: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Nesterov, Point

  47. P2 19:03Goal by Nylander (Kadri, Matthews)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Nylander, Matthews · TBL Boyle, Garrison, Brown, Sustr

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:53Shot by Hyman, saved by Bishop
  51. P3 1:47Nesterov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Drouin

  52. P3 2:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Bishop5v4
  53. P3 3:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bishop5v4
  54. P3 3:31Shot by Marner, saved by Bishop5v4
  55. P3 4:30Shot by Brown, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 5:58Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 6:45Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos, Namestnikov)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Martin, Smith, Holland, Carrick · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov

  58. P3 7:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 7:29Shot by Rielly, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 8:28Goal by van Riemsdyk (Zaitsev, Rielly)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Drouin

  61. P3 9:47Goal by Matthews (Nylander)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · TBL Boyle, Garrison, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  62. P3 9:54Shot by Carrick, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 10:39Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 10:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 11:06Shot by Hyman, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 11:12Garrison: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · TBL Coburn, Garrison, Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov

  67. P3 11:17Shot by Marner, saved by Bishop5v4
  68. P3 13:04Shot by Nylander, saved by Bishop5v4
  69. P3 13:26Marner: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Sustr, Point

  70. P3 14:11Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen4v5
  71. P3 14:45Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen4v5
  72. P3 14:47Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen4v5
  73. P3 15:08Shot by Stralman, saved by Andersen4v5
  74. P3 15:10Goal by Namestnikov (Stralman, Johnson)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Smith · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Johnson, Palat, Namestnikov

  75. P3 15:56Goal by Drouin (Kucherov)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Hyman, Rielly, Brown · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, Drouin, Point

  76. P3 17:56Shot by Hunwick, saved by Bishop
  77. P3 18:50Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 19:20Shot by Kadri, saved by Bishop
  79. P3 19:29Kadri: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Brown · TBL Boyle, Stralman, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final