Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 25, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Filppula–Killorn–PointStamkos–Kucherov–NamestnikovJohnson–Palat–DrouinBoyle–Brown–PaquetteStralman–HedmanGarrison–SustrCoburn–NesterovStralman–NesterovStralman–GarrisonCoburn–GarrisonNesterov–SustrCoburn–Hedman
van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner6:040.23–0.751:090.00–0.492:240.20–0.041:240.04–0.053:490.12–0.691:190.10–0.003:190.22–0.581:260.00–0.071:140.11–0.00
Hyman–Nylander–Matthews4:070.05–0.194:470.50–0.210:350.02–0.001:250.08–0.003:220.11–0.004:250.12–0.212:000.48–0.190:420.04–0.000:440.08–0.00
Komarov–Kadri–Brown2:010.10–0.002:190.00–0.105:500.32–0.141:410.08–0.102:370.05–0.024:070.29–0.081:430.01–0.040:400.02–0.00
Martin–Smith–Holland0:410.00–0.002:160.00–0.150:520.00–0.003:210.07–0.012:110.00–0.063:510.06–0.101:000.00–0.00
Rielly–Zaitsev3:210.18–0.004:570.16–0.695:490.23–0.154:160.12–0.596:000.29–0.123:310.04–0.131:000.10–0.000:410.11–0.00
Hunwick–Carrick1:320.12–0.274:320.47–0.262:480.08–0.060:580.00–0.002:250.05–0.052:120.03–0.215:320.68–0.33
Polak–Gardiner4:000.05–0.683:250.07–0.064:170.00–0.202:280.06–0.001:380.05–0.54
Gardiner–Carrick2:310.12–0.071:010.00–0.041:030.09–0.001:010.12–0.001:340.08–0.000:580.05–0.041:200.00–0.07
Polak–Hunwick1:320.04–0.001:130.00–0.000:450.04–0.051:470.00–0.000:520.02–0.000:330.00–0.00
Gardiner–Rielly0:340.01–0.000:300.00–0.001:020.14–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKadri FHyman FNylander FMatthews FBrown FKomarov FMartin FSmith FHolland FPolak DGardiner DRielly DHunwick DCarrick DZaitsev DAndersen GKillorn FPoint FFilppula FKucherov FNamestnikov FStamkos FJohnson FPalat FDrouin FPaquette FBoyle FBrown FStralman DHedman DGarrison DSustr DCoburn DNesterov DBishop G
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Anton StralmanTBL3224:040:451:2539
Victor HedmanTBL3122:500:441:07310
Nikita ZaitsevTOR2722:130:491:3181
Morgan RiellyTOR2820:300:441:2771
Connor CarrickTOR2519:440:471:3880
Matt HunwickTOR2719:120:431:2642
Jake GardinerTOR2319:070:501:3851
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2418:410:471:5724
Tyler BozakTOR2318:030:471:44101
Jason GarrisonTBL2817:510:381:2224
Mitch MarnerTOR2317:440:461:3891
Alex KillornTBL2417:420:441:3024
Nikita NesterovTBL2317:400:461:1621
Andrej SustrTBL2717:200:391:1235
Brayden PointTBL2317:190:451:3024
Tyler JohnsonTBL2216:520:461:0927
Leo KomarovTOR2316:500:441:1453
James van RiemsdykTOR2316:390:431:38101
Braydon CoburnTBL2416:250:411:2025
Steven StamkosTBL2416:140:411:1065
Zach HymanTOR2416:110:401:1133
Roman PolakTOR2416:100:401:1533
Nazem KadriTOR2216:020:441:1450
Auston MatthewsTOR2216:010:441:1440
William NylanderTOR2215:440:431:1340
Ondrej PalatTBL2115:380:451:2034
Nikita KucherovTBL2015:180:461:1545
Connor BrownTOR2114:190:411:0441
Jonathan DrouinTBL1814:050:471:2016
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1913:280:431:1044
Ben SmithTOR1711:470:420:5725
JT BrownTBL1611:260:431:1411
Brian BoyleTBL1510:180:411:1212
Matt MartinTOR1410:050:430:5831
Cedric PaquetteTBL149:270:411:0011
Peter HollandTOR128:380:430:5621