Tue, Oct 25, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.
37%
9%
47%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:04 | 0.13 | 66.3% | +1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:50 | 0.31 | 64.5% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.09 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.03 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.71 | 61.8% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.00 | 34.4% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.33 | 61.3% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.37 | 28.5% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:25 | 0.11 | 45.9% | +13.7 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.28 | 53.3% | +29.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.08 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 3 | 15:18 | 0.22 | 53.5% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.14 | 31.4% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.60 | 58.5% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:26 | 0.05 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.01 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.05 | 24.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 43 | 40 | 3 | .930 | 3.22 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:13 | 0.10 | 43.7% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:30 | 0.19 | 55.0% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.06 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.08 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:07 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.29 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:44 | 0.22 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.05 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:39 | 0.33 | 29.9% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:11 | 0.38 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.01 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.24 | 71.1% | +2.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 16:01 | 0.29 | 69.3% | +6.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 7 | 15:44 | 0.61 | 71.7% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.20 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:38 | 0.18 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 17 | 7 | .708 | 3.51 | −3.5 | 60:00 |