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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 8, 2016·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Ottawa Senators 1, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 68% of the time.

NSH winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ryan–Brassard–StonePyatt–Turris–HoffmanNeil–Kelly–PuempelPyatt–Dzingel–PageauTurris–Smith–HoffmanSmith–Dzingel–PageauPyatt–Turris–DzingelKelly–Smith–PageauTurris–Hoffman–DzingelNeil–Smith–PuempelBrassard–Stone–DzingelKelly–Hoffman–PageauMethot–KarlssonPhaneuf–CeciKarlsson–ClaessonMethot–CeciPhaneuf–BorowieckiBorowiecki–ClaessonPhaneuf–KarlssonBorowiecki–CeciClaesson–Ceci
Jarnkrok–Aberg–Forsberg3:590.08–0.041:330.03–0.190:520.02–0.061:170.00–0.021:410.09–0.081:360.14–0.000:370.08–0.005:010.36–0.231:440.08–0.060:580.00–0.001:480.04–0.001:240.00–0.081:060.03–0.02
Neal–Johansen–Arvidsson3:350.04–0.211:140.06–0.221:270.03–0.000:310.04–0.000:320.10–0.000:560.04–0.001:350.04–0.053:380.14–0.160:510.00–0.002:340.40–0.050:560.00–0.090:530.03–0.000:480.04–0.00
Ribeiro–Wilson–Smith1:370.05–0.002:280.59–0.040:530.00–0.040:490.08–0.270:520.03–0.003:160.50–0.042:290.25–0.331:200.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:410.00–0.02
Bass–Watson–Sissons0:550.00–0.091:190.00–0.030:580.00–0.071:210.00–0.050:490.00–0.000:400.00–0.09
Watson–Forsberg–Sissons0:390.00–0.010:510.00–0.01
Neal–Watson–Sissons1:070.06–0.040:400.00–0.04
Watson–Sissons–Arvidsson
Subban–Ekholm9:480.28–0.380:550.00–0.001:130.59–0.000:320.00–0.000:400.08–0.273:210.60–0.104:390.35–0.352:220.17–0.002:430.04–0.000:540.00–0.001:420.00–0.220:410.10–0.00
Josi–Ellis1:200.03–0.003:470.07–0.191:430.06–0.230:460.00–0.001:320.00–0.040:450.09–0.091:190.23–0.002:050.12–0.030:580.30–0.004:590.37–0.203:420.09–0.141:230.00–0.010:450.00–0.001:560.37–0.082:290.04–0.020:490.00–0.140:390.03–0.00
Weber–Irwin0:450.05–0.001:370.00–0.081:420.03–0.071:520.04–0.080:490.00–0.001:170.04–0.013:100.06–0.072:110.06–0.121:010.00–0.051:410.05–0.011:580.03–0.050:470.00–0.000:390.04–0.00
Josi–Ekholm0:550.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNeal FArvidsson FJohansen FForsberg FJarnkrok FAberg FSmith FWilson FRibeiro FWatson FSissons FBass FEkholm DSubban DEllis DJosi DWeber DIrwin DRinne GRyan FBrassard FStone FTurris FHoffman FPyatt FSmith FDzingel FPageau FKelly FNeil FPuempel FPhaneuf DCeci DMethot DKarlsson DClaesson DBorowiecki DAnderson G
NSHOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3426:200:462:3673
P.K. SubbanNSH2625:220:592:0664
Roman JosiNSH3024:360:491:3337
Cody CeciOTT3624:150:401:2957
Mattias EkholmNSH2523:360:571:3462
Dion PhaneufOTT3522:360:391:1036
Ryan EllisNSH2722:070:491:5926
Marc MethotOTT3021:070:421:1944
James NealNSH2320:210:531:2834
Mark StoneOTT2419:450:491:2433
Derick BrassardOTT2319:300:511:2843
Ryan JohansenNSH2118:500:541:2825
Filip ForsbergNSH2318:320:481:1464
Bobby RyanOTT2117:560:511:2812
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2017:100:521:3913
Kyle TurrisOTT2116:420:481:2731
Mike HoffmanOTT1716:110:571:3751
Mike RibeiroNSH2016:070:481:3033
Colin WilsonNSH2215:510:431:1132
Calle JarnkrokNSH2115:380:451:3644
Tom PyattOTT1915:350:491:2803
Zack SmithOTT1715:100:541:2741
Ryan DzingelOTT1814:560:501:2421
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT1914:370:461:0721
Pontus AbergNSH1914:200:451:1253
Craig SmithNSH1913:320:431:1832
Chris KellyOTT2013:300:411:1633
Mark BorowieckiOTT2212:230:340:5821
Yannick WeberNSH1512:130:491:2812
Matt IrwinNSH1512:130:491:2812
Fredrik ClaessonOTT1811:500:391:2420
Austin WatsonNSH1411:150:481:2803
Colton SissonsNSH1610:330:401:2804
Chris NeilOTT107:210:441:1340
Matt PuempelOTT105:560:361:1940
Cody BassNSH83:500:291:1303