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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 9, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:16Shot by McCabe, saved by Condon
  3. P1 2:49Goal by Baptiste (Schneider, Grant)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Grant, Schneider, Baptiste, Nelson · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Smith, Dzingel, Ceci

  4. P1 3:22Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 5:11Shot by Nelson, saved by Condon
  6. P1 5:50Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 7:52Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 7:56Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 11:35Shot by Dzingel, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 11:44Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 12:16Shot by McCabe, saved by Condon
  12. P1 13:08Shot by Franson, saved by Condon
  13. P1 14:52Shot by Kane, saved by Condon
  14. P1 16:18Shot by Moulson, saved by Condon
  15. P1 16:22Shot by Carrier, saved by Condon
  16. P1 19:57Kane: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Okposo, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Brassard, Pageau, Ceci

  17. P1 19:59Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner4v6
  18. P1 19:58Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner4v6
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:08Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Condon4v5
  22. P2 1:18Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehner4v5
  23. P2 1:23Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner4v5
  24. P2 3:54Shot by Methot, saved by Lehner
  25. P2 4:17Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehner
  26. P2 5:47Shot by Reinhart, saved by Condon
  27. P2 6:13Shot by McCabe, saved by Condon
  28. P2 7:15Goal by Dzingel (Brassard, Phaneuf)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Kulikov, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Brassard, Dzingel, Ceci

  29. P2 7:53Shot by Girgensons, saved by Condon
  30. P2 8:48Ceci: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Okposo, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Brassard, Stone, Ceci

  31. P2 8:59Shot by Okposo, saved by Condon5v4
  32. P2 10:31Shot by Kane, saved by Condon5v4
  33. P2 11:02Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 11:07Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 11:59Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 12:40Shot by Schneider, saved by Condon
  37. P2 15:48Shot by Carrier, saved by Condon
  38. P2 16:36Baptiste: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Grant, Schneider, Baptiste, Nelson · OTT Borowiecki, Hoffman, Dzingel, Claesson, Pageau

  39. P2 17:12Grant: High sticking (2 min)4v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Grant, McCabe · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Smith, Stone, Dzingel, Ceci

  40. P2 18:18Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner3v5
  41. P2 18:35Shot by Turris, saved by Lehner3v5
  42. P2 19:51Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:43Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  46. P3 2:01Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lehner
  47. P3 7:18Shot by Moulson, saved by Condon
  48. P3 7:49Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lehner
  49. P3 7:55Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  50. P3 8:12Shot by Dzingel, saved by Lehner
  51. P3 8:53Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lehner
  52. P3 11:08Karlsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Grant, Kulikov, Foligno, Ristolainen · OTT Methot, Ryan, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone

  53. P3 11:29Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Condon5v4
  54. P3 12:02Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Condon5v4
  55. P3 12:26Shot by McCabe, saved by Condon5v4
  56. P3 13:26Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 13:48Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 13:56Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 14:34Shot by Nelson, saved by Condon
  60. P3 16:33Shot by Moulson, saved by Condon
  61. P3 16:40Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Condon
  62. P3 16:48Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 19:06Shot by Foligno, saved by Condon
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. OT 0:00Period start
  66. OT 1:13Shot by Reinhart, saved by Condon3v3
  67. OT 1:35Shot by Grant, saved by Condon3v3
  68. OT 2:24Shot by Foligno, saved by Condon3v3
  69. OT 2:25Shot by Girgensons, saved by Condon3v3
  70. OT 2:34Shot by Okposo, saved by Condon3v3
  71. OT 4:07Shot by Reinhart, saved by Condon3v3
  72. OT 4:33Shot by Girgensons, saved by Condon3v3
  73. OT 4:45Shot by Gionta, saved by Condon3v3
  74. OT 5:00Period end
  75. SO Period start
  76. SO Goal by Reinhart, unassistedother
  77. SO Goal by Turris, unassistedother
  78. SO Shot by Okposo, saved by Condonother
  79. SO Goal by Ryan, unassistedother
  80. SO Period end
  81. SO Final