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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 9, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ryan–Brassard–StonePyatt–Hoffman–PageauTurris–Smith–DzingelKelly–Blunden–PuempelHoffman–Dzingel–PageauPyatt–Brassard–PageauMethot–KarlssonPhaneuf–CeciBorowiecki–ClaessonKarlsson–ClaessonPhaneuf–KarlssonMethot–CeciClaesson–Ceci
Okposo–Kane–Reinhart1:070.00–0.005:230.03–0.142:250.13–0.142:030.10–0.021:080.00–0.006:110.23–0.134:540.00–0.171:270.03–0.000:460.00–0.000:480.00–0.050:310.00–0.00
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson4:180.02–0.021:590.00–0.033:070.00–0.204:000.02–0.164:530.12–0.041:100.00–0.000:350.00–0.03
Moulson–Girgensons–Carrier2:410.17–0.010:460.00–0.013:000.02–0.020:520.04–0.002:460.03–0.031:190.11–0.002:570.04–0.011:060.21–0.00
Grant–Schneider–Baptiste1:160.01–0.001:420.06–0.001:370.01–0.001:250.01–0.031:450.06–0.000:340.00–0.00
Okposo–Grant–Kane0:560.01–0.000:380.02–0.011:340.04–0.01
Kulikov–Ristolainen5:300.37–0.152:200.12–0.010:410.00–0.003:190.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:320.00–0.006:310.21–0.153:540.23–0.123:150.00–0.030:320.16–0.000:480.00–0.00
Franson–McCabe3:230.04–0.004:520.03–0.121:390.00–0.173:330.15–0.025:090.17–0.295:230.01–0.032:510.04–0.00
Gorges–Nelson0:340.00–0.011:500.01–0.035:300.21–0.220:400.00–0.002:090.14–0.013:570.11–0.171:540.00–0.010:420.05–0.000:380.00–0.07
Gorges–Ristolainen1:420.11–0.021:020.00–0.001:020.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:430.00–0.020:300.04–0.00
Kulikov–McCabe0:350.00–0.030:350.00–0.03
Kulikov–Nelson0:560.01–0.020:590.01–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndGionta FLarsson FFoligno FKane FOkposo FReinhart FMoulson FGirgensons FCarrier FBaptiste FSchneider FGrant FRistolainen DKulikov DGorges DNelson DMcCabe DFranson DLehner GRyan FBrassard FStone FTurris FDzingel FSmith FPyatt FPageau FHoffman FKelly FPuempel FBlunden FMethot DKarlsson DPhaneuf DCeci DClaesson DBorowiecki DCondon G
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3329:570:541:3946
Erik KarlssonOTT3428:390:512:3164
Cody CeciOTT3824:460:391:2064
Dmitry KulikovBUF3023:440:471:2735
Jake McCabeBUF2622:510:532:0244
Dion PhaneufOTT3322:210:411:0844
Evander KaneBUF2422:090:551:3222
Kyle OkposoBUF2221:350:591:2932
Marc MethotOTT2921:110:441:5755
Sam ReinhartBUF2320:520:541:2731
Derick BrassardOTT2720:280:451:4235
Josh GorgesBUF2619:330:453:0625
Brian GiontaBUF2519:190:461:2757
Johan LarssonBUF2318:260:481:2625
Bobby RyanOTT2518:020:431:3545
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2217:310:481:2262
Cody FransonBUF2017:280:521:2813
Mike HoffmanOTT2017:270:521:4270
Kyle TurrisOTT2417:180:432:1154
Marcus FolignoBUF2317:160:451:2626
Tom PyattOTT2417:160:431:1973
Zack SmithOTT2215:550:431:0644
Mark StoneOTT2515:500:381:2563
Ryan DzingelOTT2015:460:472:3533
Chris KellyOTT1813:550:462:0502
Fredrik ClaessonOTT1813:400:461:3112
Matt MoulsonBUF1613:270:501:2730
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1912:440:401:0721
Derek GrantBUF2112:090:351:2736
Mark BorowieckiOTT1711:580:421:2840
Casey NelsonBUF1811:270:381:0823
William CarrierBUF159:530:401:0210
Mike BlundenOTT129:370:481:5700
Matt PuempelOTT119:290:521:5700
Nick BaptisteBUF148:310:371:2412
Cole SchneiderBUF137:390:351:4620