Wed, Nov 9, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
50%
10%
9%
31%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28:39 | 0.19 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:46 | 0.07 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:21 | 0.06 | 53.3% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:11 | 0.01 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:28 | 0.24 | 42.6% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:02 | 0.20 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.10 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.63 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.09 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.02 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:55 | 0.23 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.11 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:46 | 0.27 | 70.7% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:37 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:29 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.73 | +1.7 | 64:51 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 29:57 | 0.39 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:44 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:51 | 0.11 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.20 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:35 | 0.08 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:52 | 0.22 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:33 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.12 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:26 | 0.05 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.02 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.38 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:27 | 0.11 | 86.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:44 | 0.51 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.16 | 77.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:27 | 0.03 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:53 | 0.27 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:31 | 0.08 | 47.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:39 | 0.01 | 44.0% | +13.5 |
| O | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.22 | +1.2 | 65:00 |