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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 12, 2016·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 79% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:20Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:07Shot by Hunwick, saved by Murray
  5. P1 1:22Goal by Hyman (Hunwick, Marincin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Malkin, Rust, Maatta · TOR Hunwick, Marincin, Hyman, Brown, Matthews

  6. P1 2:07Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Murray
  7. P1 2:24Shot by Hunwick, saved by Murray
  8. P1 3:03Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 4:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Murray
  10. P1 5:56Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 6:24Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 6:30Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 6:58Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 7:18Shot by Hunwick, saved by Murray
  15. P1 7:23Shot by Matthews, saved by Murray
  16. P1 8:15Shot by Marner, saved by Murray
  17. P1 8:34Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 10:31Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 10:38Shot by Kunitz, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 12:41Shot by Kunitz, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 15:44Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 17:51Shot by Holland, saved by Murray
  23. P1 18:09Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 18:47Shot by Kadri, saved by Murray
  25. P1 19:23Shot by Daley, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 19:25Kadri: Delaying game smothering puck (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Malkin, Rust, Maatta · TOR van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:29Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 2:19Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 2:19Shot by Daley, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 2:21Corrado: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Fehr, Cole, Kuhnhackl · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Corrado, Marner

  33. P2 2:55Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen5v4
  34. P2 3:01Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen5v4
  35. P2 3:06Goal by Malkin (Letang, Hornqvist)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · TOR Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev

  36. P2 4:11Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  37. P2 4:54Shot by Brown, saved by Murray
  38. P2 5:23Shot by Hyman, saved by Murray
  39. P2 5:54Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 6:36Shot by Bozak, saved by Murray
  41. P2 8:08Kuhnhackl: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Fehr, Crosby, Kuhnhackl, Maatta · TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Hyman, Corrado, Brown

  42. P2 8:18Shot by Hagelin, saved by Andersen4v5
  43. P2 11:46Shot by Kunitz, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 12:27Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 13:32Shot by Kadri, saved by Murray
  46. P2 14:06Shot by Bozak, saved by Murray
  47. P2 15:21Shot by Nylander, saved by Murray
  48. P2 15:33Zaitsev: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Cole, Schultz, Sheary · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Zaitsev

  49. P2 16:15Shot by Brown, saved by Murray5v4
  50. P2 16:30Shot by Martin, saved by Murray5v4
  51. P2 16:31Shot by Martin, saved by Murray5v4
  52. P2 17:11Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen5v4
  53. P2 17:27Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen5v4
  54. P2 17:51Shot by Gardiner, saved by Murray
  55. P2 19:23Shot by Kunitz, saved by Andersen
  56. P2 19:40Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 19:42Goal by Kunitz (Rust, Cole)+30 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Cole, Schultz, Rust · TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Murray
  61. P3 0:25Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  62. P3 0:43Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  63. P3 1:14Shot by Bozak, saved by Murray
  64. P3 2:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 3:26Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 4:18Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 4:27Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 5:01Shot by Maatta, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 4:57Shot by Hagelin, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 5:40Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  71. P3 6:31Shot by Kadri, saved by Murray
  72. P3 6:46Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 6:52Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 6:58Goal by Rust (Crosby, Sheary)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Cole, Rust, Sheary · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Zaitsev

  75. P3 6:56Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 7:49Shot by Hyman, saved by Murray
  77. P3 8:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  78. P3 10:14Goal by Crosby (Dumoulin, Letang)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Sheary · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev

  79. P3 10:26Shot by Bozak, saved by Murray
  80. P3 10:52Shot by Marner, saved by Murray
  81. P3 10:53Shot by Marner, saved by Murray
  82. P3 12:05Shot by Kunitz, saved by Andersen
  83. P3 12:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Murray
  84. P3 12:59Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen
  85. P3 13:03Shot by Kunitz, saved by Andersen
  86. P3 14:18Shot by Bonino, saved by Andersen
  87. P3 14:16Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  88. P3 15:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Murray
  89. P3 15:34Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Andersen
  90. P3 16:59Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen
  91. P3 17:02Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  92. P3 18:26Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Andersen
  93. P3 18:55Malkin: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Hornqvist, Cole, Schultz · TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marincin, Marner

  94. P3 19:33Shot by Gardiner, saved by Murray4v5
  95. P3 19:59Shot by Bozak, saved by Murray4v5
  96. P3 0:00Period end
  97. P3 0:00Final