Sat, Nov 12, 2016·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 79% of the time.
72%
16%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 21:50 | 0.20 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:06 | 0.14 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:05 | 0.01 | 53.9% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:30 | 0.16 | 44.7% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:09 | 0.28 | 45.2% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.02 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.18 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.18 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.02 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.11 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:17 | 0.32 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.25 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 15:51 | 0.34 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.02 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:36 | 0.06 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:00 | 0.21 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:35 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 49 | 45 | 4 | .918 | 4.45 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:02 | 0.27 | 79.9% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.45 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:38 | 0.07 | 62.4% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.04 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.12 | 66.3% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 18:32 | 0.52 | 73.3% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.22 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.11 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:38 | 0.40 | 73.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.17 | 86.6% | +29.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.01 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:47 | 0.36 | 76.4% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:16 | 0.37 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13:31 | 0.67 | 75.3% | +29.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.00 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 11:46 | 0.66 | 81.1% | +39.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.01 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 35 | 1 | .972 | 2.48 | +1.5 | 60:00 |