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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 12, 2016·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 79% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

van Riemsdyk–Bozak–MarnerHyman–Brown–MatthewsKomarov–Kadri–NylanderMartin–Holland–SoshnikovGardiner–CorradoRielly–ZaitsevHunwick–MarincinMarincin–RiellyGardiner–RiellyHunwick–RiellyHunwick–Gardiner
Crosby–Hornqvist–Sheary0:420.02–0.002:330.21–0.135:500.44–0.131:000.04–0.000:340.00–0.007:370.75–0.171:050.00–0.121:030.00–0.020:570.00–0.02
Kessel–Bonino–Hagelin4:270.13–0.222:560.49–0.001:170.00–0.051:000.07–0.024:000.20–0.081:060.00–0.004:550.49–0.190:310.00–0.03
Cullen–Fehr–Kuhnhackl3:340.41–0.141:520.00–0.082:130.00–0.074:210.41–0.072:110.00–0.062:260.00–0.17
Kunitz–Malkin–Rust2:260.65–0.113:010.00–0.230:510.07–0.030:340.03–0.004:110.22–0.131:020.12–0.003:060.10–0.240:430.53–0.00
Letang–Dumoulin5:270.09–0.123:430.26–0.034:180.35–0.060:530.03–0.004:390.15–0.017:150.58–0.132:330.13–0.020:510.00–0.020:530.02–0.19
Daley–Maatta2:410.02–0.224:020.13–0.381:430.00–0.032:480.11–0.075:050.19–0.112:440.09–0.024:310.13–0.450:380.00–0.060:330.00–0.020:480.04–0.01
Cole–Schultz3:550.51–0.202:340.30–0.021:510.09–0.072:140.24–0.024:330.25–0.102:140.12–0.024:560.34–0.16
Daley–Dumoulin0:350.00–0.06
Schultz–Maatta
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSheary FHornqvist FCrosby FKunitz FRust FMalkin FBonino FHagelin FKessel FKuhnhackl FCullen FFehr FDumoulin DLetang DMaatta DDaley DSchultz DCole DMurray GNylander FKadri FKomarov FHyman FBrown FMatthews FMarner Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FMartin FSoshnikov FHolland FZaitsev DRielly DHunwick DMarincin DCorrado DGardiner DAndersen G
PITTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2924:020:501:3553
Morgan RiellyTOR3521:500:371:1137
Trevor DaleyPIT2721:150:471:4014
Jake GardinerTOR2821:060:451:2541
Martin MarincinTOR3221:050:402:1123
Matt HunwickTOR3120:300:401:2223
Brian DumoulinPIT2519:380:471:4322
Olli MaattaPIT2619:110:441:4114
Patric HornqvistPIT2219:090:521:3341
Sidney CrosbyPIT2418:320:461:3342
Zach HymanTOR2518:090:441:0754
Nikita ZaitsevTOR3317:500:321:0736
Mitch MarnerTOR2017:420:531:2121
Auston MatthewsTOR2117:400:501:1760
Phil KesselPIT2217:200:471:1951
Nick BoninoPIT2316:500:441:2423
Leo KomarovTOR2616:390:381:2325
Evgeni MalkinPIT2016:380:501:3531
Frank CorradoTOR2516:240:391:0641
James van RiemsdykTOR2216:210:451:2121
Tyler BozakTOR2316:170:421:1114
Ian ColePIT2416:070:401:0502
Justin SchultzPIT2215:530:431:0502
Connor BrownTOR2415:520:400:5941
Nazem KadriTOR2415:510:401:2323
Conor ShearyPIT1915:470:502:0112
Carl HagelinPIT2115:160:441:2023
William NylanderTOR2114:480:421:1832
Chris KunitzPIT1913:310:431:2811
Matt CullenPIT1812:410:420:5916
Eric FehrPIT1712:100:430:5715
Bryan RustPIT1711:460:421:0521
Tom KuhnhacklPIT1611:090:421:0215
Peter HollandTOR129:360:481:2002
Matt MartinTOR139:000:421:1501
Nikita SoshnikovTOR118:350:471:0901