Sat, Nov 19, 2016·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Montréal Canadiens 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 56% of the time.
45%
11%
9%
35%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:18 | 0.09 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:03 | 0.07 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.03 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:38 | 0.22 | 28.1% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.02 | 48.6% | +11.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.29 | 36.6% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:12 | 0.35 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:59 | 0.16 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.06 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 15:33 | 0.30 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.02 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.02 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.01 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.24 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:00 | 0.14 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.23 | +0.2 | 58:16 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 26:44 | 0.19 | 67.5% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:27 | 0.02 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:16 | 0.10 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:35 | 0.12 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.01 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.44 | 82.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.20 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:19 | 0.13 | 70.6% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.07 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.05 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.15 | 70.6% | +28.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:50 | 0.50 | 70.6% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:42 | 0.07 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:23 | 0.18 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:33 | 0.00 | 35.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.00 | +1.0 | 59:55 |