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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 20, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Calgary Flames 3, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 54% of the time.

DET winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Mantha, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 1:19Shot by Wideman, saved by Howard
  4. P1 2:40Kulak: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ott, Ericsson, Miller, Marchenko, Glendening · CGY Engelland, Hamilton, Ferland, Kulak, Hathaway

  5. P1 4:36Shot by Bennett, saved by Howard5v4
  6. P1 5:47Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Howard
  7. P1 6:13Shot by Glendening, saved by Johnson
  8. P1 7:44Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 8:06Goal by Tatar (Abdelkader, Marchenko)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Tatar, Sheahan, Marchenko · CGY Wideman, Brouwer, Brodie, Monahan, Bennett

  10. P1 8:48Shot by Sproul, saved by Johnson
  11. P1 9:43Shot by Kulak, saved by Howard
  12. P1 10:25Shot by Vanek, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 11:10Shot by Sproul, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 11:19Shot by Hamilton, saved by Howard
  15. P1 11:33Shot by Ferland, saved by Howard
  16. P1 11:35Bennett: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Mantha · CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Hamilton, Monahan, Bennett

  17. P1 11:41Shot by Larkin, saved by Johnson5v4
  18. P1 13:57Shot by Engelland, saved by Howard
  19. P1 14:41Shot by Engelland, saved by Howard
  20. P1 14:50Shot by Frolik, saved by Howard
  21. P1 17:59Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Johnson
  22. P1 18:27Shot by Backlund, saved by Howard
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P1 19:35Shot by Vanek, saved by Johnson
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 3:40Goal by Hathaway (Hamilton, Ferland)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ott, Ericsson, Miller, Marchenko, Glendening · CGY Giordano, Hamilton, Ferland, Hamilton, Hathaway

  27. P2 5:04Shot by Backlund, saved by Howard
  28. P2 5:14Shot by Sproul, saved by Johnson
  29. P2 9:31Shot by Brouwer, saved by Howard
  30. P2 9:33Kronwall: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ott, Kronwall, Nielsen, Vanek, Sproul · CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Hamilton, Monahan, Bennett

  31. P2 10:12Shot by Giordano, saved by Howard4v5
  32. P2 11:22Shot by Kulak, saved by Howard4v5
  33. P2 11:36Shot by Shinkaruk, saved by Howard
  34. P2 12:05Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 13:21Shot by Green, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 15:10Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 16:29Shot by Hamilton, saved by Howard
  38. P2 16:56Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson
  39. P2 18:02Shot by Ott, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 18:25Shot by Frolik, saved by Howard
  41. P2 19:16Shot by Giordano, saved by Howard
  42. P2 19:24Shot by Chiasson, saved by Howard
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:49Shot by Sheahan, saved by Johnson
  46. P3 2:24Shot by Chiasson, saved by Howard
  47. P3 2:31Goal by Stajan (Hamilton, Shinkaruk)+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Tatar, Sheahan, Sproul, DeKeyser · CGY Stajan, Giordano, Chiasson, Hamilton, Shinkaruk

  48. P3 3:48Shot by Bennett, saved by Howard
  49. P3 4:52Shot by Chiasson, saved by Howard
  50. P3 5:06Shot by Tatar, saved by Johnson
  51. P3 6:08Shot by Mantha, saved by Johnson
  52. P3 7:23Shot by Monahan, saved by Howard
  53. P3 7:59Goal by Mantha (Zetterberg, Nyquist)+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson, Nyquist, Mantha · CGY Engelland, Brouwer, Kulak, Monahan, Bennett

  54. P3 12:14Goal by Backlund (Frolik, Hamilton)+34 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Vanek, Tatar, Sproul · CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk

  55. P3 15:28Shot by Mantha, saved by Johnson
  56. P3 15:41Shot by Nielsen, saved by Johnson
  57. P3 18:13Howard: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Sproul, Mantha · CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Hamilton, Monahan, Bennett

  58. P3 19:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Johnson
  59. P3 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Final