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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 23, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (SO)

Away

Detroit Red Wings

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:12Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 2:25Shot by Foligno, saved by Howard
  4. P1 2:28Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  5. P1 4:04Shot by Grant, saved by Howard
  6. P1 6:08Shot by Glendening, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 7:10Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 7:16Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 7:28Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 8:24Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  11. P1 8:30Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  12. P1 8:36Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard
  13. P1 11:12Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard
  14. P1 11:17Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard
  15. P1 16:21Shot by Grant, saved by Howard
  16. P1 19:07Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 19:18Vanek: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Kane, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe · DET Nielsen, Vanek, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser

  18. P1 19:18Vanek: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Franson, Kane, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe · DET Nielsen, Vanek, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser

  19. P1 19:58Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner5v4
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:23Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard5v4
  23. P2 3:13Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard5v4
  24. P2 3:37Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  25. P2 4:07Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner
  26. P2 5:42Shot by Gorges, saved by Howard
  27. P2 5:43Grant: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Grant, Kane, Carrier, Ristolainen · DET Smith, Nyquist, Sheahan, Sproul, Larkin

  28. P2 5:59Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner4v5
  29. P2 6:10Shot by Gionta, saved by Howard4v5
  30. P2 6:36Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehner4v5
  31. P2 6:42Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehner4v5
  32. P2 7:33Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lehner4v5
  33. P2 8:04Falk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Falk, Grant, Kane, Fedun, Reinhart · DET Ott, Kronwall, Sheahan, Sproul, Bertuzzi

  34. P2 8:29Shot by Green, saved by Lehner4v5
  35. P2 8:45Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner4v5
  36. P2 9:06Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner4v5
  37. P2 10:17Shot by Kane, saved by Howard
  38. P2 12:25Shot by Gorges, saved by Howard
  39. P2 13:51Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 16:00Goal by Nyquist (Vanek, Sproul)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Moulson, O'Reilly, Fedun · DET Kronwall, Vanek, Nyquist, Sproul, Larkin

  41. P2 16:29Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 16:44Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard
  43. P2 17:08Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  44. P2 19:17Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:42Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard
  48. P3 1:16Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner
  49. P3 1:38Shot by Kane, saved by Howard
  50. P3 1:42Goal by Gionta, unassisted+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Kane, Larsson, Ristolainen · DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Tatar, Sproul, Glendening

  51. P3 2:32Kronwall: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Girgensons, McCabe, Reinhart · DET Kronwall, Vanek, Smith, Nyquist, Larkin

  52. P3 4:56Shot by Carrier, saved by Howard
  53. P3 8:21Shot by Carrier, saved by Howard
  54. P3 10:03Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner
  55. P3 10:10Shot by Gorges, saved by Howard
  56. P3 10:55Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 12:49Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  58. P3 14:32Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard
  59. P3 16:41Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard
  60. P3 17:01Shot by Carrier, saved by Howard
  61. P3 18:05Shot by Sproul, saved by Lehner
  62. P3 18:44Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard
  63. P3 18:50Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. OT 0:00Period start
  66. OT 0:15Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner3v3
  67. OT 2:30Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard3v3
  68. OT 3:37Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard3v3
  69. OT 3:56Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard3v3
  70. OT 5:00Period end
  71. SO Period start
  72. SO Shot by Okposo, saved by Howardother
  73. SO Goal by Nyquist, unassistedother
  74. SO Goal by Reinhart, unassistedother
  75. SO Goal by Vanek, unassistedother
  76. SO Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howardother
  77. SO Period end
  78. SO Final