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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 23, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zetterberg–Abdelkader–ManthaVanek–Nyquist–LarkinNielsen–Tatar–GlendeningOtt–Sheahan–BertuzziZetterberg–Tatar–ManthaGreen–DeKeyserKronwall–SmithEricsson–SproulKronwall–SproulKronwall–GreenEricsson–DeKeyserEricsson–SmithSmith–DeKeyser
Moulson–Okposo–O'Reilly3:260.05–0.161:380.07–0.001:170.00–0.006:410.12–0.26
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson0:560.13–0.005:160.41–0.160:320.02–0.002:150.13–0.001:470.11–0.001:410.30–0.001:370.07–0.15
Kane–Girgensons–Reinhart1:280.00–0.152:460.04–0.030:330.00–0.092:240.00–0.051:170.04–0.040:570.05–0.00
Gionta–Kane–Larsson1:440.00–0.021:070.00–0.031:100.12–0.072:110.00–0.111:270.13–0.000:360.00–0.00
O'Reilly–Grant–Carrier0:410.02–0.003:480.04–0.060:580.03–0.000:550.01–0.002:080.02–0.06
Okposo–O'Reilly–Foligno0:460.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:270.12–0.021:130.08–0.002:540.16–0.000:430.00–0.080:480.10–0.00
Moulson–Girgensons–Reinhart0:450.00–0.041:370.00–0.04
Gorges–Ristolainen3:490.03–0.135:420.39–0.153:120.27–0.090:400.00–0.003:490.11–0.124:270.36–0.145:330.59–0.001:420.00–0.150:500.10–0.00
Franson–McCabe5:180.15–0.152:370.04–0.052:400.09–0.001:140.00–0.000:550.00–0.006:060.24–0.083:320.04–0.041:150.00–0.040:550.00–0.000:300.00–0.010:530.05–0.01
Falk–Fedun0:330.00–0.002:310.00–0.035:160.09–0.133:210.08–0.002:000.01–0.032:540.00–0.060:310.00–0.060:410.00–0.00
McCabe–Ristolainen0:320.00–0.000:300.00–0.070:300.00–0.070:530.00–0.06
Falk–Ristolainen0:430.00–0.001:140.00–0.10
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndOkposo FMoulson FO'Reilly FKane FGirgensons FReinhart FLarsson FGionta FFoligno FO'Reilly FGrant FCarrier FFranson DMcCabe DGorges DRistolainen DFedun DFalk DLehner GSheahan FOtt FBertuzzi FAbdelkader FMantha FZetterberg FLarkin FNyquist FVanek FTatar FGlendening FNielsen FGreen DDeKeyser DSmith DKronwall DEricsson DSproul DHoward G
BUFDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3429:020:512:2322
Danny DeKeyserDET3025:200:511:4346
Mike GreenDET2925:180:521:3745
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2522:480:551:4653
Josh GorgesBUF3122:180:431:2233
Evander KaneBUF2421:360:542:1311
Jake McCabeBUF2720:550:461:2051
Henrik ZetterbergDET2420:100:501:2926
Brian GiontaBUF2320:050:521:3122
Kyle OkposoBUF2320:020:521:1761
Niklas KronwallDET2919:590:411:1337
Cody FransonBUF2419:160:481:2960
Johan LarssonBUF2319:010:501:2930
Brendan SmithDET2618:090:421:1336
Anthony ManthaDET2217:550:491:2927
Jonathan EricssonDET2617:400:411:4334
Sam ReinhartBUF2117:080:491:4071
Frans NielsenDET2316:420:441:1734
Ryan SproulDET2416:410:421:1912
Matt MoulsonBUF1716:280:581:3860
Justin AbdelkaderDET2116:230:471:1717
Luke GlendeningDET2216:200:451:3927
Taylor FedunBUF2016:140:492:2132
Steve OttDET2216:110:441:3932
Dylan LarkinDET2115:270:441:1531
Tomas TatarDET2015:020:451:1534
Marcus FolignoBUF1914:570:471:2831
Gustav NyquistDET1914:530:471:1921
Thomas VanekDET1914:110:451:0222
Justin FalkBUF1913:250:422:0503
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1813:120:441:1560
Riley SheahanDET1712:080:431:4232
Tyler BertuzziDET1410:310:451:1520
Cal O'ReillyBUF118:540:491:2403
William CarrierBUF138:090:380:5634
Derek GrantBUF127:300:380:5603