Wed, Nov 23, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
22%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:20 | 0.05 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:18 | 0.05 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.12 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:59 | 0.02 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:55 | 0.34 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.03 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.03 | 41.4% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:23 | 0.26 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.10 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.27 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.27 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.24 | 46.9% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.08 | 39.7% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.06 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.08 | 57.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 3.08 | +2.1 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 29:02 | 0.71 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 22:48 | 0.43 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:18 | 0.07 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.15 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 | 0.02 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.16 | 63.3% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:02 | 0.16 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 | 0.01 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:01 | 0.36 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.28 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.26 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.03 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.19 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:09 | 0.20 | 87.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:30 | 0.04 | 38.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.01 | +1.0 | 65:00 |