Tue, Nov 29, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 5, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 56% of the time.
45%
10%
9%
36%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 27:54 | 0.07 | 44.3% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.01 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 21:32 | 0.60 | 58.7% | +36.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.21 | 47.8% | +18.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 18:28 | 0.29 | 49.1% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.00 | 44.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 39.5% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.73 | 38.8% | +25.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 17:08 | 0.15 | 36.9% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.03 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.06 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.02 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.16 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.05 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.05 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:23 | 0.16 | 70.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.20 | −0.8 | 41:59 | |
| – | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 0.68 | −0.3 | 17:48 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 29:40 | 0.15 | 60.8% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:51 | 0.11 | 49.7% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:01 | 0.35 | 53.0% | +17.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:15 | 0.47 | 68.1% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:30 | 0.19 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 20:38 | 0.75 | 73.9% | +55.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.05 | 75.2% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.09 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.27 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.06 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.29 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.03 | 72.2% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:21 | 0.03 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:23 | 0.05 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:50 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 2.60 | −2.4 | 58:00 |