Tue, Nov 29, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 5, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 56% of the time.
45%
10%
9%
36%
OTT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kane–Reinhart–Eichel | Okposo–O'Reilly–Carrier | Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | Moulson–Grant–Girgensons | Foligno–Larsson–Girgensons | Moulson–Okposo–O'Reilly | McCabe–Ristolainen | Falk–Fedun | Gorges–Franson | Gorges–Ristolainen | Falk–Ristolainen | Franson–McCabe | Gorges–Fedun | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brassard–Hoffman–Stone | 3:180.17–0.00 | 4:190.50–0.17 | 1:160.03–0.00 | 4:110.39–0.17 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 4:080.18–0.02 | |||||||
| Pyatt–Smith–Pageau | 4:240.37–0.35 | 0:440.12–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.03 | 1:200.01–0.00 | 3:270.37–0.31 | 1:470.11–0.06 | |||||||
| Turris–Dzingel–Pageau | 2:080.08–0.32 | 0:310.03–0.00 | 2:250.08–0.28 | 0:470.20–0.00 | 0:330.08–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kelly–Pyatt–Smith | 2:170.05–0.01 | 1:420.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ryan–Turris–Dzingel | 1:230.00–0.01 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.05 | ||||||||
| Turris–Dzingel–Lazar | 0:490.00–0.12 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:310.17–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.12 | |||||||||
| Neil–Turris–Dzingel | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Turris–Hoffman–Stone | 0:350.03–0.00 | 0:340.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Neil–Turris–Lazar | 0:360.03–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Neil–Kelly–Lazar | 0:480.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Brassard–Dzingel–Lazar | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Turris–Stone–Dzingel | |||||||||||||
| Methot–Karlsson | 2:460.00–0.04 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:160.01–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.11 | 2:290.01–0.00 | 3:540.17–0.11 | 0:500.00–0.04 | 1:020.02–0.08 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||
| Borowiecki–Ceci | 2:370.00–0.00 | 1:060.01–0.12 | 0:370.38–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:550.38–0.00 | 2:350.00–0.00 | 2:420.01–0.12 | ||||||
| Phaneuf–Karlsson | 1:290.05–0.12 | 1:300.02–0.08 | 1:300.29–0.00 | 1:570.01–0.08 | 0:420.20–0.12 | 1:380.15–0.00 | 0:490.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Phaneuf–Ceci | 0:450.00–0.04 | 0:530.08–0.02 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:420.05–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.01 | |||||||
| Borowiecki–Wideman | 0:500.15–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:490.03–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.02 | 2:120.15–0.07 | ||||||||
| Karlsson–Wideman | 0:470.00–0.06 | 1:350.00–0.03 | 2:130.02–0.07 | 1:220.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Methot–Ceci | 1:220.37–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:000.37–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Wideman | 1:060.00–0.14 | 0:330.00–0.14 | 1:250.00–0.29 | ||||||||||
| Wideman–Ceci | 0:520.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Karlsson–Borowiecki | 0:380.03–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Borowiecki | 0:510.05–0.04 | 0:320.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 28 | 29:40 | 1:04 | 3:17 | 3 | 9 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 31 | 27:54 | 0:54 | 2:09 | 7 | 4 |
 Dion PhaneufOTT | 28 | 24:51 | 0:53 | 2:46 | 5 | 6 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 28 | 24:01 | 0:51 | 2:30 | 5 | 3 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 24 | 22:15 | 0:56 | 3:17 | 8 | 3 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 30 | 21:35 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 4 | 2 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 25 | 21:32 | 0:52 | 2:39 | 5 | 6 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 26 | 21:30 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 2 | 4 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 23 | 20:38 | 0:54 | 3:17 | 8 | 3 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 21 | 20:27 | 0:58 | 1:42 | 1 | 1 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 24 | 18:43 | 0:47 | 2:09 | 4 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 21 | 18:28 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 5 | 3 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 29 | 18:25 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 0 | 4 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 26 | 17:54 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 0 | 5 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 19 | 17:18 | 0:55 | 1:43 | 6 | 1 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 20 | 17:08 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 4 | 0 |
 Taylor FedunBUF | 21 | 16:15 | 0:46 | 1:57 | 4 | 0 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 20 | 15:47 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 1 | 3 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 20 | 15:42 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 0 | 4 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 20 | 15:36 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 17 | 15:22 | 0:54 | 1:34 | 1 | 5 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 24 | 14:50 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 1 | 1 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 20 | 14:39 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 3 | 0 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 19 | 14:35 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 1 | 6 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 18 | 14:07 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 0 | 1 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 20 | 13:57 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 3 | 1 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 19 | 13:39 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Chris KellyOTT | 16 | 12:29 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 2 | 4 |
 Derek GrantBUF | 14 | 11:53 | 0:51 | 2:34 | 2 | 4 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 18 | 11:39 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 William CarrierBUF | 16 | 10:50 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 13 | 10:32 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 2 | 1 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 11 | 8:21 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 11 | 7:23 | 0:40 | 0:58 | 2 | 0 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 10 | 6:23 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 2 | 1 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 4 | 2:50 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 0 | 1 |