Wed, Dec 7, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Minnesota Wild 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.
77%
11%
TOR winsMIN wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Coyle–Niederreiter | Koivu–Zucker–Granlund | Pominville–Parise–Haula | Stewart–Graovac–Gabriel | Koivu–Granlund–Niederreiter | Parise–Stewart–Graovac | Suter–Spurgeon | Brodin–Dumba | Scandella–Prosser | Scandella–Dumba | Scandella–Spurgeon | Suter–Dumba | Spurgeon–Prosser | Suter–Brodin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyman–Brown–Matthews | 2:380.00–0.04 | 1:340.12–0.00 | 4:240.15–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.04 | 1:000.13–0.04 | 5:230.16–0.00 | 4:190.21–0.04 | 2:050.13–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.07 | ||||
| van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner | 6:230.18–0.18 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:070.21–0.06 | 1:150.17–0.00 | 4:410.16–0.23 | 3:050.38–0.08 | 2:440.00–0.02 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Komarov–Kadri–Nylander | 1:300.16–0.02 | 2:360.31–0.30 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:480.47–0.06 | 1:440.04–0.13 | 2:080.00–0.16 | ||||||||
| Komarov–Kadri–Soshnikov | 0:450.00–0.04 | 2:350.11–0.08 | 2:250.14–0.13 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Martin–Smith–Soshnikov | 1:030.00–0.02 | 1:260.12–0.10 | 1:230.12–0.10 | 1:060.00–0.02 | 1:030.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Martin–Smith–Nylander | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.02 | 0:430.06–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Rielly–Zaitsev | 4:420.21–0.20 | 5:330.43–0.20 | 1:010.01–0.00 | 6:360.66–0.16 | 2:290.00–0.06 | 3:020.00–0.17 | 0:470.32–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Gardiner–Carrick | 3:470.08–0.02 | 1:520.02–0.19 | 2:110.23–0.06 | 2:020.00–0.30 | 5:530.22–0.43 | 3:320.09–0.18 | 2:280.00–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Polak–Hunwick | 1:040.00–0.07 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 4:400.26–0.10 | 2:230.14–0.04 | 2:370.12–0.00 | 4:360.30–0.06 | 2:110.00–0.15 | 0:500.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Hunwick–Zaitsev | 1:000.01–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:000.13–0.04 | 0:450.01–0.00 | 1:370.13–0.04 | |||||||||
| Gardiner–Rielly | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.02 | 0:370.17–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:330.17–0.02 | |||||||||
| Gardiner–Zaitsev | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Hunwick–Gardiner | 0:420.10–0.06 | |||||||||||||
| Hunwick–Rielly | 0:570.00–0.02 | 0:500.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Ryan SuterMIN | 26 | 24:55 | 0:58 | 2:07 | 1 | 4 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 27 | 24:47 | 0:55 | 2:07 | 2 | 5 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 26 | 23:54 | 0:55 | 2:41 | 6 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 30 | 23:06 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 4 | 3 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 28 | 22:31 | 0:48 | 1:53 | 7 | 3 |
 Mikael GranlundMIN | 23 | 19:32 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 25 | 19:21 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 8 | 1 |
 Eric StaalMIN | 24 | 18:53 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 3 | 6 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 18:52 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 8 | 1 |
 Jonas BrodinMIN | 24 | 18:45 | 0:47 | 2:07 | 0 | 1 |
 Mikko KoivuMIN | 23 | 18:22 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 1 | 5 |
 Mathew DumbaMIN | 22 | 18:19 | 0:50 | 2:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 25 | 18:18 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 0 | 6 |
 Marco ScandellaMIN | 21 | 18:06 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 1 | 3 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 23 | 18:02 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 4 | 0 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 25 | 17:41 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 9 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 25 | 17:30 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 5 | 3 |
 Zach PariseMIN | 25 | 17:30 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 8 | 1 |
 Jason ZuckerMIN | 19 | 16:55 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 0 | 1 |
 Charlie CoyleMIN | 22 | 16:28 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 4 | 5 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 21 | 16:09 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 3 | 4 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 22 | 16:09 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 4 | 3 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 23 | 16:03 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 5 | 0 |
 Nino NiederreiterMIN | 21 | 16:00 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 1 | 4 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 23 | 15:03 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 5 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 14:30 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 4 | 0 |
 Nate ProsserMIN | 19 | 14:28 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Erik HaulaMIN | 22 | 14:16 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 4 | 0 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 19 | 13:11 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 0 | 5 |
 Jason PominvilleMIN | 23 | 12:31 | 0:33 | 1:13 | 5 | 0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovTOR | 16 | 11:57 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Ben SmithTOR | 16 | 9:42 | 0:36 | 1:04 | 0 | 4 |
 Chris StewartMIN | 15 | 9:38 | 0:39 | 1:24 | 2 | 0 |
 Tyler GraovacMIN | 14 | 9:27 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 2 | 0 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 13 | 8:21 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 0 | 2 |
 Kurtis GabrielMIN | 11 | 7:08 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 1 | 0 |