Sat, Dec 10, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 57% of the time.
31%
12%
10%
46%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 29:01 | 0.13 | 74.5% | +57.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.51 | 46.6% | +46.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.02 | 51.7% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:20 | 0.07 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.10 | 64.6% | +66.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17:31 | 0.53 | 67.2% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.04 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.07 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.04 | 32.6% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.05 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.02 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.09 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:57 | 0.18 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.04 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.10 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.02 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.07 | 52.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.74 | −1.3 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:35 | 0.34 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:29 | 0.09 | 47.6% | +15.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:25 | 0.20 | 72.8% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:03 | 0.15 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.20 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:55 | 0.25 | 49.2% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.03 | 71.3% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.07 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.07 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.12 | 49.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.06 | 75.1% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.00 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.11 | 60.4% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:46 | 0.00 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:42 | 0.05 | 16.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 2.09 | −1.9 | 58:11 |