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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 11, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Colorado Avalanche 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.

TOR winsCOL wins

Colorado Avalanche

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Francois BeaucheminD · #32000+1125:440.0741.0%0.0
Fedor TyutinD · #51000+1222:570.0443.0%0.0
Tyson BarrieD · #40110222:430.0749.3%+16.1
Nathan MacKinnonC · #291010620:270.4648.7%+16.1
Mikhail GrigorenkoC · #25000+1018:440.1417.5%0.0
Blake ComeauLW · #14101+1318:330.5435.5%+5.3
Nikita ZadorovD · #160000017:320.0021.3%0.0
Matt DucheneC · #90110217:300.2237.2%+16.1
Gabriel LandeskogLW · #920000116:180.1359.7%0.0
Patrick WierciochD · #280000216:100.1433.2%0.0
Mikko RantanenRW · #961010115:030.1322.5%+16.1
Rene BourqueRW · #170000114:200.3059.9%0.0
Jarome IginlaRW · #120110114:090.2226.9%+16.1
John MitchellC · #70000412:450.2942.1%0.0
Eric GelinasD · #440000012:030.0043.2%0.0
Carl SoderbergC · #340000211:160.0737.1%0.0
Andreas MartinsenLW · #27000006:100.0559.6%0.0
Cody McLeodLW · #55000016:070.1228.1%0.0
Semyon Varlamov#1W52511.9814.81+3.860:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake GardinerD · #51101−1322:200.1265.8%+9.2
Morgan RiellyD · #440000421:150.2556.7%0.0
Nikita ZaitsevD · #22011−1320:400.2243.1%+9.2
William NylanderRW · #290000720:280.5669.2%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #340000319:430.6370.9%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #110000318:400.4881.8%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #42000−1217:080.1869.3%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #430000716:490.5538.6%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16011−1216:320.2173.7%+9.2
Connor CarrickD · #80000416:300.1767.2%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #25000−1716:120.8465.8%0.0
Matt HunwickD · #20000115:520.0468.6%0.0
Roman PolakD · #460000215:040.0770.9%0.0
Nikita SoshnikovRW · #260000214:510.2239.3%0.0
Leo KomarovRW · #470000013:560.0138.5%0.0
Connor BrownRW · #12000−1211:530.0954.5%0.0
Ben SmithRW · #180000011:450.1653.4%0.0
Matt MartinLW · #15000007:280.0055.5%0.0
Antoine Bibeau#30L28262.9292.51+0.557:02