Sun, Dec 11, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Colorado Avalanche 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.
69%
19%
TOR winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:44 | 0.07 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.04 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:43 | 0.07 | 49.3% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20:27 | 0.46 | 48.7% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:44 | 0.14 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.54 | 35.5% | +5.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.22 | 37.2% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.13 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.14 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.13 | 22.5% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.30 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.22 | 26.9% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:45 | 0.29 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:16 | 0.07 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:10 | 0.05 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:07 | 0.12 | 28.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 52 | 51 | 1 | .981 | 4.81 | +3.8 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:20 | 0.12 | 65.8% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:15 | 0.25 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:40 | 0.22 | 43.1% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20:28 | 0.56 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.63 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:40 | 0.48 | 81.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.18 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16:49 | 0.55 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.21 | 73.7% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:30 | 0.17 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 16:12 | 0.84 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.04 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.07 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.22 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.01 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.09 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.16 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:28 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.51 | +0.5 | 57:02 |