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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 27, 2016·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 3, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 65% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:02Goal by Borowiecki (Hoffman, Pageau)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Lindberg, Fast, Puempel · OTT Pyatt, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Wideman, Pageau

  3. P1 3:10Goal by Smith (Karlsson, Stone)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · OTT Methot, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson, Stone

  4. P1 4:23Shot by Staal, saved by Condon
  5. P1 5:03Shot by Kreider, saved by Condon
  6. P1 6:14Shot by Stone, saved by Raanta
  7. P1 6:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Raanta
  8. P1 9:18Shot by Ceci, saved by Raanta
  9. P1 10:25Turris: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Girardi, Pirri, Hrivik, Miller · OTT Ryan, Turris, Borowiecki, Wideman, Dzingel

  10. P1 10:25Staal: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Staal, Girardi, Pirri, Hrivik, Miller · OTT Ryan, Turris, Borowiecki, Wideman, Dzingel

  11. P1 10:37Shot by Pageau, saved by Raanta4v4
  12. P1 11:37Goal by Holden (McDonagh, Hayes)4v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Holden, Stepan, Zuccarello · OTT Methot, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone

  13. P1 13:25Shot by Pirri, saved by Condon
  14. P1 15:19Shot by Turris, saved by Raanta
  15. P1 15:56Shot by Stepan, saved by Condon
  16. P1 16:48Shot by Pyatt, saved by Raanta
  17. P1 16:52Shot by Pyatt, saved by Raanta
  18. P1 16:56Goal by Ceci (Hoffman, Pageau)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Grabner, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci

  19. P1 17:31Shot by Lazar, saved by Raanta
  20. P1 18:02Shot by Puempel, saved by Condon
  21. P1 18:44Shot by Smith, saved by Raanta
  22. P1 19:28Shot by Kreider, saved by Condon
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:43Dzingel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Turris, Dzingel, Ceci

  26. P2 1:56Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Condon5v4
  27. P2 2:41Shot by McDonagh, saved by Condon5v4
  28. P2 2:43Shot by Kreider, saved by Condon
  29. P2 2:45Goal by Stepan (Kreider, McDonagh)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Pirri, Zuccarello · OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel, Lazar

  30. P2 3:13Shot by Wideman, saved by Raanta
  31. P2 3:51Shot by Ryan, saved by Raanta
  32. P2 4:00Shot by Puempel, saved by Condon
  33. P2 4:16Shot by Pyatt, saved by Raanta
  34. P2 5:46Shot by Ryan, saved by Raanta
  35. P2 5:57Kreider: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, Holden, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · OTT Ryan, Turris, Borowiecki, Wideman, Dzingel

  36. P2 7:01Shot by Staal, saved by Condon4v5
  37. P2 8:03Shot by Ceci, saved by Raanta
  38. P2 9:25Shot by Dzingel, saved by Raanta
  39. P2 10:01Shot by Dzingel, saved by Raanta
  40. P2 10:05Shot by Dzingel, saved by Raanta
  41. P2 11:31Zuccarello: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, Zuccarello, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · OTT Neil, Kelly, Phaneuf, Ceci, Lazar

  42. P2 11:31Klein: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Klein, Zuccarello, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · OTT Neil, Kelly, Phaneuf, Ceci, Lazar

  43. P2 11:31Neil: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: NYR Klein, Zuccarello, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · OTT Neil, Kelly, Phaneuf, Ceci, Lazar

  44. P2 12:44Shot by Hoffman, saved by Raanta4v5
  45. P2 12:46Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Raanta4v5
  46. P2 12:47Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Raanta4v5
  47. P2 12:47Staal: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Stepan, Miller · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  48. P2 12:47Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Stepan, Miller · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  49. P2 14:49Pageau: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, McDonagh, Pirri, Hrivik, Miller · OTT Phaneuf, Wideman, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci

  50. P2 14:55Goal by Stepan (Zuccarello, McDonagh)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Pirri, Zuccarello · OTT Kelly, Methot, Pyatt, Karlsson

  51. P2 16:16Shot by Ryan, saved by Raanta
  52. P2 16:34Shot by Fast, saved by Condon
  53. P2 17:43Shot by Brassard, saved by Raanta
  54. P2 17:47Shot by Wideman, saved by Raanta
  55. P2 18:49Kelly: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, Pirri, Hrivik, Miller, Skjei · OTT Neil, Kelly, Phaneuf, Pageau, Ceci

  56. P2 19:04Shot by Pirri, saved by Condon5v4
  57. P2 19:58Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Condon5v4
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:39Shot by Stepan, saved by Condon5v4
  61. P3 1:34Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Raanta
  62. P3 1:47Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Raanta
  63. P3 4:14Vesey: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Grabner, McDonagh, Hayes, Vesey · OTT Brassard, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Wideman, Stone

  64. P3 4:14Stone: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Grabner, McDonagh, Hayes, Vesey · OTT Brassard, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Wideman, Stone

  65. P3 4:27Turris: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Holden, Lindberg, Fast, Miller · OTT Ryan, Turris, Borowiecki, Wideman, Dzingel

  66. P3 6:21Shot by Miller, saved by Condon5v4
  67. P3 6:31Goal by Holden (Skjei, Puempel)+34 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Holden, Hayes, Miller, Puempel, Skjei · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Turris, Pageau, Ceci

  68. P3 9:36Shot by Methot, saved by Raanta
  69. P3 10:07Grabner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Grabner, Holden, Hayes, Miller · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel

  70. P3 10:50Shot by Miller, saved by Condon4v5
  71. P3 10:55Shot by Hayes, saved by Condon4v5
  72. P3 11:35Shot by Ryan, saved by Raanta4v5
  73. P3 13:32Zuccarello: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Klein, Lindberg, Fast, Puempel, Skjei · OTT Ryan, Brassard, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  74. P3 13:38Shot by Stone, saved by Raanta4v5
  75. P3 14:02Shot by Hoffman, saved by Raanta4v5
  76. P3 14:22Shot by Hoffman, saved by Raanta4v5
  77. P3 14:30Shot by Hoffman, saved by Raanta4v5
  78. P3 14:51Shot by Miller, saved by Condon4v5
  79. P3 15:23Shot by Grabner, saved by Condon4v5
  80. P3 16:30Shot by Lindberg, saved by Condon
  81. P3 17:47Shot by Methot, saved by Raanta
  82. P3 19:52Shot by Brassard, saved by Raanta5v6
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final