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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 27, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 4, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 63% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:54Shot by Girgensons, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 4:04Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 4:10Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 4:27Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 5:21Shot by Vanek, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 5:29Shot by Vanek, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 5:31Shot by Vanek, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 5:44Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 5:49Shot by Ott, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 5:53Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 7:12Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 7:12Goal by Kane (Gionta, Bogosian)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Ouellet, Glendening, Athanasiou, Larkin · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Larsson, McCabe

  14. P1 7:58Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 8:08Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 8:30Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 8:57Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 9:17Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  19. P1 11:19Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 11:35Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 12:15Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 12:52Shot by Larsson, saved by Mrazek
  23. P1 14:40Nielsen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ott, Ericsson, Miller, Sheahan, Ouellet · BUF Okposo, Kulikov, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  24. P1 15:12Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek4v5
  25. P1 15:54Goal by Reinhart (Ristolainen, Eichel)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Miller, Jensen, Sheahan, DeKeyser · BUF Moulson, Okposo, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  26. P1 16:34Shot by Vanek, saved by Lehner
  27. P1 18:57Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:16Shot by Glendening, saved by Lehner
  31. P2 1:29Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 1:38Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 4:10Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 4:38Shot by Ott, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 4:56Foligno: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Tatar, Ouellet, Mantha · BUF Moulson, Bogosian, Foligno, McCabe, Eichel

  36. P2 4:56Mantha: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Tatar, Ouellet, Mantha · BUF Moulson, Bogosian, Foligno, McCabe, Eichel

  37. P2 5:45Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 6:41Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Vanek, Smith, Nyquist · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Falk, Kane, Larsson

  39. P2 8:20Shot by McCabe, saved by Mrazek4v5
  40. P2 8:55Kulikov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Smith, Tatar, Larkin · BUF Gionta, Kane, Kulikov, Larsson, Ristolainen

  41. P2 9:00Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner5v4
  42. P2 9:21Glendening: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Tatar, Glendening, Larkin · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Grant, Ristolainen

  43. P2 9:42Shot by McCabe, saved by Mrazek4v4
  44. P2 10:11Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner4v4
  45. P2 14:46Goal by Zetterberg (Ott, Mantha)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ott, Jensen, DeKeyser, Mantha · BUF Kane, Kulikov, Deslauriers, Larsson, Ristolainen

  46. P2 15:08Goal by Eichel (Foligno)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Vanek, Nyquist, Ouellet, DeKeyser · BUF Gorges, Moulson, Falk, Foligno, Eichel

  47. P2 16:14Goal by Miller (Larkin)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Miller, Jensen, Sheahan, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Girgensons, McCabe, Reinhart

  48. P2 17:15Shot by Gionta, saved by Mrazek
  49. P2 18:59Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lehner
  50. P2 19:21Kane: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Miller, Smith, Tatar, Sheahan · BUF Okposo, Kane, Kulikov, Larsson, Ristolainen

  51. P2 19:21Smith: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Miller, Smith, Tatar, Sheahan · BUF Okposo, Kane, Kulikov, Larsson, Ristolainen

  52. P2 19:33Shot by Grant, saved by Mrazek
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:20Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 2:13Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  57. P3 3:08Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 3:21Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 5:00Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 5:03Reinhart: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Vanek, Nyquist, DeKeyser · BUF Gorges, Okposo, Falk, Girgensons, Reinhart

  61. P3 6:33Goal by Vanek, unassisted5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Vanek, Smith, Nyquist, Sheahan · BUF Falk, Grant, Kane, Kulikov

  62. P3 7:47Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 8:29Goal by Kane (Gionta, Kulikov)+30 pts WP

    On ice: DET Jensen, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF Gionta, Kane, Kulikov, Larsson, Ristolainen

  64. P3 8:51Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 10:38Shot by Kulikov, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 11:08Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 11:51Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 13:25Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 13:48Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 14:18Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 15:17Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehner
  72. P3 15:18Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 15:34Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 15:44Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lehner
  75. P3 15:49Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner
  76. P3 17:47Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner
  77. P3 19:00Shot by Vanek, saved by Lehner6v5
  78. P3 19:06Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner6v5
  79. P3 19:42Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner6v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final