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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 27, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 4, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 63% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Okposo–Girgensons–ReinhartGionta–Kane–LarssonMoulson–Foligno–EichelGrant–Deslauriers–CarrierGionta–Deslauriers–LarssonKane–Deslauriers–LarssonFoligno–Carrier–EichelGionta–Foligno–ReinhartBogosian–McCabeKulikov–RistolainenGorges–FalkGorges–RistolainenBogosian–Kulikov
Nielsen–Vanek–Nyquist6:530.44–0.201:010.41–0.081:440.00–0.000:470.00–0.003:000.06–0.003:170.43–0.105:100.36–0.25
Zetterberg–Tatar–Mantha1:180.03–0.025:030.23–0.140:400.04–0.004:400.16–0.003:260.11–0.150:320.03–0.000:430.01–0.00
Glendening–Athanasiou–Larkin5:350.27–0.450:360.00–0.001:270.01–0.000:340.04–0.000:420.00–0.003:470.06–0.374:310.21–0.190:570.04–0.01
Ott–Miller–Sheahan1:050.10–0.020:500.07–0.020:490.00–0.002:050.07–0.071:240.10–0.17
Zetterberg–Ott–Mantha1:250.00–0.001:100.00–0.000:390.00–0.03
Miller–Tatar–Sheahan0:560.00–0.000:360.00–0.030:560.00–0.001:070.27–0.03
Vanek–Nyquist–Larkin0:580.02–0.001:430.02–0.00
Sheahan–Athanasiou–Larkin1:070.04–0.000:380.01–0.00
Zetterberg–Tatar–Larkin0:480.00–0.12
Ericsson–Ouellet1:040.00–0.101:400.09–0.387:500.23–0.191:170.00–0.008:020.16–0.495:000.16–0.201:320.00–0.250:320.00–0.00
Jensen–DeKeyser3:440.38–0.134:250.24–0.092:400.01–0.000:350.00–0.000:330.00–0.043:010.31–0.005:360.20–0.233:360.15–0.141:000.01–0.030:390.01–0.00
Kronwall–Smith4:130.17–0.004:160.20–0.020:400.41–0.001:110.27–0.000:350.00–0.005:450.12–0.004:100.80–0.082:280.10–0.000:490.04–0.00
Kronwall–Jensen0:430.00–0.001:110.04–0.031:110.04–0.030:350.00–0.00
Ericsson–DeKeyser0:310.00–0.000:480.04–0.000:310.00–0.000:480.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGlendening FLarkin FAthanasiou FTatar FMantha FZetterberg FNielsen FNyquist FVanek FSheahan FMiller FOtt FJensen DDeKeyser DEricsson DOuellet DSmith DKronwall DMrazek GKane FGionta FLarsson FEichel FMoulson FFoligno FOkposo FReinhart FGirgensons FDeslauriers FCarrier FGrant FRistolainen DKulikov DMcCabe DBogosian DGorges DFalk DLehner G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2625:360:591:5937
Dmitry KulikovBUF2922:330:471:5954
Zach BogosianBUF2122:191:041:5622
Jake McCabeBUF2321:310:561:4333
Jonathan EricssonDET2621:130:491:3215
Niklas KronwallDET2920:350:431:1782
Danny DeKeyserDET2820:320:441:2628
Brian GiontaBUF2219:560:542:2824
Nick JensenDET2419:270:491:1945
Henrik ZetterbergDET2419:230:481:1391
Evander KaneBUF2219:000:522:2046
Xavier OuelletDET2318:540:491:2713
Johan LarssonBUF2218:330:511:5927
Anthony ManthaDET2218:230:501:3171
Jack EichelBUF2318:020:471:4742
Dylan LarkinDET2517:530:432:3055
Gustav NyquistDET2417:510:451:2973
Sam ReinhartBUF2017:470:531:3464
Kyle OkposoBUF2017:130:521:3465
Thomas VanekDET2316:470:441:1362
Tomas TatarDET2316:300:431:1982
Brendan SmithDET2415:580:401:1142
Frans NielsenDET2315:280:401:0361
Marcus FolignoBUF1914:530:471:4723
Josh GorgesBUF2314:380:381:3847
Matt MoulsonBUF1713:340:481:5430
Andreas AthanasiouDET2113:220:381:1745
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1913:140:421:1152
Luke GlendeningDET2413:120:331:0845
Riley SheahanDET2012:010:361:0642
Justin FalkBUF1911:070:351:1053
Steve OttDET189:460:330:5323
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF99:371:041:5912
Drew MillerDET158:440:351:0621
Derek GrantBUF178:290:301:0518
William CarrierBUF128:280:421:0520