Tue, Dec 27, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 4, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 63% of the time.
54%
9%
29%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:36 | 0.17 | 30.7% | +15.7 |
 Dmitry KulikovD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:33 | 0.54 | 29.4% | +29.5 |
 Zach BogosianD · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:19 | 0.00 | 43.9% | +13.7 |
 Jake McCabeD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:31 | 0.11 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
 Brian GiontaRW · #12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.14 | 56.7% | +43.2 |
 Evander KaneLW · #9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:00 | 0.45 | 51.8% | +43.2 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.16 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
 Jack EichelC · #15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 18:02 | 0.32 | 45.4% | +34.3 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.27 | 28.5% | +15.7 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.09 | 28.7% | 0.0 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 36.8% | +18.6 |
 Josh GorgesD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt MoulsonLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.14 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.05 | 23.0% | 0.0 |
 Justin FalkD · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.06 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersLW · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:37 | 0.13 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
 Derek GrantC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:29 | 0.03 | 20.2% | 0.0 |
 William CarrierLW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Robin Lehner#40 | W | 43 | 40 | 3 | .930 | 3.41 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jonathan EricssonD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.06 | 31.9% | 0.0 |
 Niklas KronwallD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.14 | 91.3% | 0.0 |
 Danny DeKeyserD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:32 | 0.10 | 67.3% | 0.0 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.05 | 63.7% | 0.0 |
 Henrik ZetterbergC · #40 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.06 | 58.6% | +18.4 |
 Xavier OuelletD · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.07 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:23 | 0.08 | 56.6% | +18.4 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 17:53 | 0.67 | 53.9% | +18.5 |
 Gustav NyquistRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.24 | 70.2% | 0.0 |
 Thomas VanekLW · #62 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 16:47 | 0.68 | 72.0% | +26.2 |
 Tomas TatarLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.24 | 68.1% | 0.0 |
 Brendan SmithD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.14 | 89.3% | 0.0 |
 Frans NielsenC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:28 | 0.12 | 70.8% | 0.0 |
 Andreas AthanasiouC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.06 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.03 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 Riley SheahanC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:01 | 0.30 | 69.9% | 0.0 |
 Steve OttC · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:46 | 0.11 | 41.1% | +18.4 |
 Drew MillerLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:44 | 0.25 | 71.6% | +18.5 |
 Petr Mrazek#34 | L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.14 | −1.9 | 58:47 |