Wed, Dec 28, 2016·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Florida Panthers 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 66% of the time.
58%
8%
27%
FLA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:05 | 0.18 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:01 | 0.10 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:37 | 0.00 | 27.9% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.24 | 54.9% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0.58 | 56.9% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.36 | 56.4% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.19 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.05 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.10 | 15.6% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:23 | 0.42 | 13.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.04 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.01 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16:25 | 0.52 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:45 | 0.23 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:02 | 0.00 | 3.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:42 | 0.00 | 10.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:20 | 0.00 | 7.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 47 | 45 | 2 | .957 | 4.05 | +2.0 | 65:00 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 25:21 | 0.53 | 72.9% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:04 | 0.40 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:24 | 0.20 | 72.4% | +18.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 22:17 | 0.35 | 58.6% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21:58 | 0.40 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 20:50 | 0.13 | 86.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.09 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.08 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.31 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:38 | 0.88 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.20 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.08 | 67.2% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.03 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.00 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.31 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:05 | 0.05 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:23 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:07 | 0.00 | 12.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 38 | 2 | .950 | 3.01 | +1.0 | 64:58 |