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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 31, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:37Shot by Killorn, saved by Ward
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ward
  4. P1 2:35Shot by Bournival, saved by Ward
  5. P1 4:41Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ward
  6. P1 6:18Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 6:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ward
  8. P1 7:01Hanifin: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Koekkoek, Drouin · CAR Staal, Tennyson, McGinn, Hanifin, Aho

  9. P1 7:29Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward5v4
  10. P1 7:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ward5v4
  11. P1 7:35Goal by Boyle (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Hainsey, McClement, Stalberg, Slavin

  12. P1 8:15Shot by Rask, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 8:32Shot by Stempniak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 10:10Shot by Drouin, saved by Ward
  15. P1 11:10Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 12:53Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 12:53Stralman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Peca, Namestnikov · CAR Hainsey, Stempniak, Murphy, Teravainen, Aho

  18. P1 13:53Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward4v5
  19. P1 14:40Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  20. P1 17:47Stempniak: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Peca, Namestnikov · CAR Staal, Skinner, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce

  21. P1 18:25Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ward5v4
  22. P1 19:12Stalberg: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Stalberg, Pesce

  23. P1 19:50Goal by Drouin (Kucherov, Palat)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Drouin · CAR Hainsey, McClement, Stempniak, Slavin

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:28Shot by Stralman, saved by Ward
  27. P2 2:44Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 2:49Garrison: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Stempniak, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho

  29. P2 3:15Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  30. P2 5:32Drouin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Peca, Namestnikov, Koekkoek, Drouin · CAR Hainsey, McClement, Stalberg, Nordstrom, Pesce

  31. P2 7:09Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  32. P2 7:44Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 7:58Shot by Garrison, saved by Ward
  34. P2 8:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  35. P2 8:08Shot by Brown, saved by Ward
  36. P2 9:41Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 11:05Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 11:11Shot by Stalberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 13:22Goal by Killorn (Peca, Hedman)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Peca, Namestnikov, Sustr · CAR Stempniak, Rask, Tennyson, Hanifin, Ryan

  40. P2 14:02Shot by Drouin, saved by Ward
  41. P2 14:16Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 15:20Goal by Aho (Slavin, Teravainen)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Koekkoek · CAR Stempniak, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho

  43. P2 18:06Shot by Stalberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 19:15Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 19:51Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 19:59Shot by Palat, saved by Ward
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:30Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 1:29Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 2:20Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ward
  52. P3 3:01Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 3:39Shot by Stralman, saved by Ward
  54. P3 3:46Killorn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Peca, Namestnikov · CAR Hainsey, Nestrasil, Skinner, Rask, Murphy

  55. P3 3:40Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ward
  56. P3 4:03Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  57. P3 4:57Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  58. P3 5:51Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 11:26Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 12:11Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ward
  61. P3 12:22Shot by Coburn, saved by Ward
  62. P3 16:30Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  63. P3 17:23Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  64. P3 18:36Shot by Filppula, saved by Ward
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final