Sat, Dec 31, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
55%
11%
9%
25%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 24:54 | 0.16 | 48.4% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:07 | 0.00 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:54 | 0.02 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.04 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.06 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.06 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.01 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.15 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.08 | 67.6% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.06 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:41 | 0.45 | 63.7% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:21 | 0.14 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.05 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.00 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.08 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:04 | 0.09 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:56 | 0.25 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.11 | 49.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.05 | −0.9 | 57:23 | |
| – | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0:08 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 23:56 | 0.12 | 73.6% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:52 | 0.03 | 43.5% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:52 | 0.56 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:51 | 0.00 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:36 | 0.04 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.17 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.30 | 39.7% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.06 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 17:47 | 0.16 | 35.3% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.05 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:48 | 0.10 | 58.7% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 13:01 | 0.22 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.03 | 45.7% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.13 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:47 | 0.00 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:13 | 0.11 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:07 | 0.47 | 100.0% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.03 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 1.80 | +0.8 | 59:44 |