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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 31, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stempniak–Teravainen–AhoMcClement–Stalberg–NordstromSkinner–Rask–RyanStaal–Nestrasil–McGinnNestrasil–Skinner–RaskStaal–McGinn–RyanSlavin–PesceHainsey–MurphyTennyson–HanifinHainsey–TennysonHainsey–SlavinMurphy–Pesce
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov8:360.21–0.230:580.00–0.101:470.03–0.0510:250.22–0.380:500.00–0.000:510.01–0.00
Killorn–Peca–Namestnikov1:270.00–0.241:170.00–0.183:010.22–0.091:590.11–0.041:130.07–0.002:400.09–0.124:220.31–0.390:370.00–0.06
Bournival–Brown–Gourde3:470.19–0.111:230.09–0.002:030.02–0.151:010.08–0.000:300.00–0.00
Filppula–Boyle–Drouin0:530.00–0.003:380.15–0.000:460.00–0.003:160.06–0.001:340.09–0.00
Filppula–Bournival–Drouin0:300.00–0.002:000.00–0.000:340.00–0.002:480.00–0.05
Stralman–Hedman5:330.12–0.092:050.00–0.091:030.01–0.010:570.09–0.000:300.00–0.007:020.18–0.013:020.10–0.09
Coburn–Sustr2:000.01–0.042:530.08–0.182:000.22–0.001:380.02–0.040:340.00–0.001:480.00–0.042:270.00–0.044:010.30–0.240:310.01–0.00
Garrison–Koekkoek0:320.00–0.082:090.00–0.222:410.09–0.000:360.00–0.002:320.00–0.192:150.00–0.111:310.09–0.00
Hedman–Sustr0:340.02–0.001:500.14–0.050:570.06–0.000:570.03–0.051:330.08–0.00
Coburn–Stralman2:300.07–0.150:500.00–0.030:580.07–0.000:570.00–0.031:160.00–0.15
Stralman–Garrison0:390.01–0.100:350.05–0.090:340.01–0.100:490.00–0.05
Garrison–Sustr0:370.00–0.000:350.06–0.00
Hedman–Koekkoek1:250.09–0.000:300.09–0.000:350.00–0.00
Coburn–Garrison0:400.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Garrison–Hedman0:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPalat FKucherov FBoyle FDrouin FFilppula FKillorn FPeca FGourde FNamestnikov FBournival FBrown FStralman DHedman DKoekkoek DCoburn DSustr DGarrison DVasilevskiy GAho FStempniak FTeravainen FStaal FMcClement FMcGinn FNestrasil FRyan FRask FSkinner FStalberg FNordstrom FPesce DSlavin DHanifin DHainsey DMurphy DTennyson DWard GAlves G
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jaccob SlavinCAR2424:541:022:3252
Victor HedmanTBL2923:560:501:1944
Ondrej PalatTBL2823:520:511:4116
Anton StralmanTBL3023:520:481:5616
Andrej SustrTBL2221:511:001:4502
Braydon CoburnTBL2521:360:521:5604
Ron HainseyCAR2521:070:512:0325
Ryan MurphyCAR2220:540:572:0542
Tyler JohnsonTBL2820:430:441:2325
Brett PesceCAR2320:070:521:3433
Jeff SkinnerCAR2118:450:541:2641
Jordan StaalCAR2618:330:431:4843
Alex KillornTBL2518:280:441:5623
Victor RaskCAR2218:050:491:2541
Lee StempniakCAR2618:030:421:1870
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2618:020:421:1380
Noah HanifinCAR2417:560:451:3331
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2517:530:431:1745
Nikita KucherovTBL2217:470:491:4112
Sebastian AhoCAR2317:410:461:2570
Derek RyanCAR2417:210:431:2823
Jason GarrisonTBL2316:190:432:3925
Jonathan DrouinTBL2113:480:391:0541
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1813:010:431:5611
Andrej NestrasilCAR1912:230:391:2631
Matt TennysonCAR2012:060:361:2542
Matthew PecaTBL1912:050:381:5611
Jay McClementCAR1811:040:371:2114
Viktor StalbergCAR1611:040:421:3414
Joakim NordstromCAR1610:560:411:3924
Michael BournivalTBL1710:460:381:3532
Brock McGinnCAR1810:160:340:5813
Slater KoekkoekTBL149:470:422:3941
JT BrownTBL139:130:431:3522
Brian BoyleTBL139:070:421:0830
Yanni GourdeTBL128:120:411:3521