Sat, Jan 7, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
8%
43%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 26:14 | 0.12 | 76.7% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:21 | 0.04 | 69.4% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 23:02 | 0.63 | 67.9% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:27 | 0.23 | 61.8% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:02 | 0.00 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:01 | 0.21 | 69.7% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.30 | 71.8% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.12 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:34 | 0.24 | 61.7% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.40 | 88.3% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.23 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.16 | 34.6% | +18.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.20 | 46.6% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:02 | 0.08 | 18.7% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:35 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:08 | 0.00 | 71.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 2.87 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.03 | 43.8% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.03 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:11 | 0.12 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:53 | 0.23 | 35.6% | +47.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.02 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:37 | 0.37 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:38 | 0.09 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:38 | 0.04 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.24 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:33 | 0.63 | 53.4% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.46 | 30.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.05 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.01 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:13 | 0.37 | 35.2% | +47.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.07 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:17 | 0.09 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:53 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:31 | 0.02 | 16.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 2.97 | −2.0 | 56:58 |