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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 13, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 53% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:25Shot by McGinn, saved by Nilsson
  3. P1 1:33Shot by Lindholm, saved by Nilsson
  4. P1 3:30Shot by Girgensons, saved by Ward
  5. P1 3:34Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Ward
  6. P1 3:36Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Ward
  7. P1 4:24Goal by Carrier (O'Reilly)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Skinner, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Fedun, McCabe, Carrier

  8. P1 4:36Shot by Staal, saved by Nilsson
  9. P1 6:02Shot by Bailey, saved by Ward
  10. P1 6:08Shot by Bailey, saved by Ward
  11. P1 6:28Shot by Girgensons, saved by Ward
  12. P1 7:23McClement: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, McClement, Faulk, McGinn, Lindholm · BUF Moulson, O'Reilly, Deslauriers, McCabe, Ristolainen

  13. P1 8:03Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward4v5
  14. P1 8:30Shot by Kane, saved by Ward4v5
  15. P1 10:19Ristolainen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Tennyson, Ryan · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Carrier, Ristolainen

  16. P1 10:23Shot by Faulk, saved by Nilsson5v4
  17. P1 10:56Shot by Aho, saved by Nilsson5v4
  18. P1 12:28Shot by Bogosian, saved by Ward
  19. P1 12:35Shot by Bogosian, saved by Ward
  20. P1 13:23Shot by Lindholm, saved by Nilsson
  21. P1 15:02Fedun: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Tennyson, McGinn, Lindholm, Hanifin · BUF Gionta, Falk, Foligno, Fedun, Eichel

  22. P1 15:13Shot by Stempniak, saved by Nilsson5v4
  23. P1 15:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Nilsson5v4
  24. P1 18:54Shot by Fedun, saved by Ward
  25. P1 19:49Shot by Moulson, saved by Ward
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:48Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Ward
  29. P2 1:48Goal by Skinner (Ryan, Staal)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Skinner, Slavin, Pesce, Ryan · BUF Gionta, Falk, Fedun, Reinhart, Eichel

  30. P2 2:43Goal by Skinner (Faulk)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, McClement, Stalberg, Faulk, Skinner · BUF Moulson, Franson, Bogosian, Deslauriers, Girgensons

  31. P2 3:43Shot by Okposo, saved by Ward
  32. P2 3:49Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ward
  33. P2 4:46Shot by Aho, saved by Nilsson
  34. P2 4:47Shot by Aho, saved by Nilsson
  35. P2 5:25Shot by Stempniak, saved by Nilsson
  36. P2 6:20Shot by Bailey, saved by Ward
  37. P2 6:21Shot by Bailey, saved by Ward
  38. P2 6:50Shot by Lindholm, saved by Nilsson
  39. P2 6:51Goal by McGinn (Lindholm, Hainsey)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Lindholm · BUF Okposo, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  40. P2 7:45Shot by Stempniak, saved by Nilsson
  41. P2 9:34Shot by Girgensons, saved by Ward
  42. P2 10:55Deslauriers: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stempniak, Tennyson, Teravainen, Hanifin, Aho · BUF Gionta, Falk, Deslauriers, Fedun, Eichel

  43. P2 11:12Shot by Aho, saved by Nilsson5v4
  44. P2 11:49Goal by Gionta, unassisted5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Faulk, Teravainen, Lindholm, Aho, Ryan · BUF Gionta, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen

  45. P2 13:57Shot by Slavin, saved by Nilsson
  46. P2 14:25Shot by Pesce, saved by Nilsson
  47. P2 14:52Shot by Lindholm, saved by Nilsson
  48. P2 16:05Shot by Rask, saved by Nilsson
  49. P2 16:59Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  50. P2 17:12Shot by Stalberg, saved by Nilsson
  51. P2 18:29Shot by McCabe, saved by Ward
  52. P2 18:31Shot by Gionta, saved by Ward
  53. P2 19:40Shot by Bogosian, saved by Ward
  54. P2 19:54Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P2 19:50Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:19Shot by Bogosian, saved by Ward
  59. P3 0:49Shot by Staal, saved by Nilsson
  60. P3 1:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Nilsson
  61. P3 1:52Shot by Foligno, saved by Ward
  62. P3 2:46Shot by Franson, saved by Ward
  63. P3 4:15Goal by Rask (Hanifin, Skinner)+11 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skinner, Rask, Tennyson, Teravainen, Hanifin · BUF Kane, McCabe, Bailey, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  64. P3 5:12Shot by Aho, saved by Nilsson
  65. P3 6:58Shot by Rask, saved by Nilsson
  66. P3 7:20Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  67. P3 7:24Shot by Bogosian, saved by Ward
  68. P3 7:29Shot by Franson, saved by Ward
  69. P3 7:44Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  70. P3 7:58Goal by McGinn (Staal)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm · BUF Franson, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Foligno, Reinhart

  71. P3 8:26Fedun: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Stempniak, Faulk, Aho, Ryan · BUF Okposo, Falk, O'Reilly, Fedun, Carrier

  72. P3 8:44Shot by Ryan, saved by Nilsson5v4
  73. P3 9:24Shot by Kane, saved by Ward5v4
  74. P3 9:38Shot by Faulk, saved by Nilsson5v4
  75. P3 10:08Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ward5v4
  76. P3 10:30Shot by Faulk, saved by Nilsson
  77. P3 10:55Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ward
  78. P3 12:02Staal: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Stalberg, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce · BUF Falk, Deslauriers, Fedun, Girgensons, Carrier

  79. P3 12:19Shot by Stalberg, saved by Nilsson4v5
  80. P3 14:38Shot by Skinner, saved by Nilsson
  81. P3 15:42Shot by Aho, saved by Nilsson
  82. P3 15:53Shot by Foligno, saved by Ward
  83. P3 16:00Shot by Franson, saved by Ward
  84. P3 16:13Shot by Staal, saved by Nilsson
  85. P3 17:22Shot by Stalberg, saved by Nilsson
  86. P3 17:23Shot by Stalberg, saved by Nilsson
  87. P3 18:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Nilsson
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final