Fri, Jan 13, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
40%
CAR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Okposo–O'Reilly–Carrier | Gionta–Foligno–Eichel | Moulson–Deslauriers–Girgensons | Kane–Bailey–Reinhart | Foligno–Reinhart–Eichel | Gionta–Deslauriers–Girgensons | Okposo–O'Reilly–Kane | Kane–Girgensons–Reinhart | Kane–Girgensons–Bailey | Moulson–Reinhart–Eichel | Moulson–Foligno–Eichel | Okposo–Reinhart–Eichel | Okposo–Kane–Girgensons | Franson–Bogosian | McCabe–Ristolainen | Falk–Fedun | Bogosian–Ristolainen | Franson–McCabe | Fedun–McCabe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staal–McGinn–Lindholm | 2:000.00–0.00 | 3:500.37–0.06 | 0:410.11–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:310.02–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.10 | 3:320.18–0.22 | 2:500.41–0.00 | 4:210.48–0.07 | 0:390.21–0.08 | |||||||||
| McClement–Stalberg–Nordstrom | 3:070.00–0.18 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:310.08–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.07 | 3:080.00–0.04 | 1:130.11–0.06 | 1:570.10–0.20 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Skinner–Rask–Ryan | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.42 | 0:340.01–0.02 | 0:550.00–0.01 | 2:160.00–0.05 | 3:240.03–0.44 | |||||||||||||
| Stempniak–Teravainen–Aho | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:590.10–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.10 | 0:370.00–0.18 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:530.10–0.08 | 1:240.00–0.21 | 1:050.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Skinner–Rask–Teravainen | 0:390.05–0.03 | 0:570.22–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 1:520.32–0.03 | 1:130.04–0.00 | 0:570.22–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Stempniak–Aho–Ryan | 1:320.00–0.04 | 0:380.06–0.03 | 1:230.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
| Hainsey–Faulk | 4:330.00–0.04 | 1:120.34–0.00 | 1:030.10–0.16 | 0:390.11–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:340.01–0.02 | 0:550.09–0.00 | 4:520.25–0.52 | 2:180.34–0.05 | 5:370.42–0.07 | ||||||||
| Slavin–Pesce | 1:050.54–0.12 | 4:550.24–0.09 | 0:450.00–0.13 | 0:310.02–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.03 | 1:110.00–0.10 | 4:360.28–0.28 | 4:160.15–0.03 | 3:110.67–0.07 | 0:380.00–0.12 | |||||||||
| Tennyson–Hanifin | 2:090.00–0.01 | 2:460.25–0.52 | 1:340.22–0.18 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:500.00–0.08 | 3:220.36–0.60 | 1:250.00–0.13 | 1:090.22–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Hainsey–Tennyson | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.07 | 0:390.00–0.01 | 1:170.00–0.01 | 1:020.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||||
| Faulk–Hanifin | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:580.15–0.00 | 0:380.04–0.00 | 0:410.21–0.19 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Ron HainseyCAR | 26 | 23:06 | 0:53 | 2:02 | 3 | 4 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 27 | 22:53 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 3 | 6 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 27 | 22:27 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 6 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 26 | 21:23 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 1 | 3 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 27 | 20:54 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 3 | 5 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 23 | 20:48 | 0:54 | 1:53 | 5 | 2 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 25 | 19:56 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 26 | 19:23 | 0:45 | 1:06 | 4 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 25 | 19:19 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 5 | 6 |
 Elias LindholmCAR | 24 | 18:11 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 5 | 6 |
 Noah HanifinCAR | 19 | 18:05 | 0:57 | 1:21 | 5 | 2 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 22 | 17:49 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 0 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 19 | 17:46 | 0:56 | 1:29 | 5 | 1 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 20 | 17:25 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 23 | 16:46 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 16:45 | 0:50 | 1:13 | 4 | 1 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 20 | 16:44 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 3 | 1 |
 Derek RyanCAR | 20 | 16:37 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 2 | 2 |
 Victor RaskCAR | 19 | 16:34 | 0:52 | 1:29 | 5 | 1 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 20 | 16:22 | 0:49 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 16:20 | 0:49 | 1:18 | 5 | 0 |
 Lee StempniakCAR | 18 | 16:15 | 0:54 | 1:38 | 3 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 22 | 15:57 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 2 | 4 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 19 | 15:49 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Taylor FedunBUF | 21 | 15:32 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 18 | 15:21 | 0:51 | 1:20 | 5 | 0 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 18 | 14:10 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 2 | 0 |
 Brock McGinnCAR | 21 | 14:07 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 2 | 5 |
 Matt TennysonCAR | 20 | 13:53 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 2 | 3 |
 Viktor StalbergCAR | 15 | 12:35 | 0:50 | 2:02 | 0 | 2 |
 Jay McClementCAR | 16 | 11:55 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Joakim NordstromCAR | 14 | 11:28 | 0:49 | 1:07 | 0 | 2 |
 William CarrierBUF | 16 | 10:23 | 0:39 | 0:58 | 2 | 0 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 11 | 10:09 | 0:55 | 1:28 | 2 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 10 | 7:58 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 1 | 0 |
 Justin BaileyBUF | 10 | 6:53 | 0:41 | 0:59 | 1 | 1 |