Fri, Jan 13, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
40%
CAR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 22:53 | 0.15 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:23 | 0.01 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:54 | 0.05 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:48 | 0.36 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.17 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.68 | 24.1% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.14 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.02 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.16 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.23 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.38 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.20 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.28 | 27.8% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.03 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:23 | 0.12 | 21.1% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.17 | 82.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:58 | 0.10 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 6:53 | 0.49 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 33 | 5 | .868 | 3.90 | −1.1 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:06 | 0.01 | 51.0% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:27 | 0.15 | 57.4% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.29 | 72.7% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:11 | 0.35 | 73.4% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:05 | 0.15 | 48.7% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.09 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 17:46 | 0.40 | 53.9% | +49.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.02 | 35.0% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:34 | 0.20 | 48.4% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.02 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:15 | 0.25 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.10 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 14:10 | 1.01 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:07 | 0.62 | 74.4% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 12:35 | 0.13 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:55 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.11 | 25.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 3.75 | +1.7 | 60:00 |