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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 14, 2017·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 67% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Ceci, saved by McElhinney
  3. P1 0:36Shot by Pyatt, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 1:05Shot by Polak, saved by Condon
  5. P1 1:57Shot by Smith, saved by McElhinney
  6. P1 2:57Shot by Kelly, saved by McElhinney
  7. P1 3:09Shot by Brown, saved by Condon
  8. P1 3:46Shot by Hyman, saved by Condon
  9. P1 3:55Shot by Gardiner, saved by Condon
  10. P1 5:32Shot by Stone, saved by McElhinney
  11. P1 5:34Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Smith, Borowiecki, Wideman, Stone · TOR Martin, Rielly, Gauthier, Soshnikov, Zaitsev

  12. P1 6:25Shot by Bozak, saved by Condon4v5
  13. P1 6:26Goal by Kadri (van Riemsdyk, Bozak)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Pyatt, Turris, Karlsson · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev

  14. P1 6:44Shot by Ceci, saved by McElhinney
  15. P1 6:49Shot by Phaneuf, saved by McElhinney
  16. P1 7:47Shot by Martin, saved by Condon
  17. P1 9:48Shot by Dzingel, saved by McElhinney
  18. P1 9:49Shot by Ryan, saved by McElhinney
  19. P1 9:50Shot by Ryan, saved by McElhinney
  20. P1 11:25Shot by Stone, saved by McElhinney
  21. P1 12:00Shot by Bozak, saved by Condon
  22. P1 12:35Shot by Carrick, saved by Condon
  23. P1 12:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Condon
  24. P1 13:31Shot by Stone, saved by McElhinney
  25. P1 14:40Shot by Lazar, saved by McElhinney
  26. P1 18:36Shot by Stone, saved by McElhinney
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:07Goal by Bozak (Marner)+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Turris, Dzingel, Ceci · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev

  30. P2 1:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  31. P2 3:16Shot by Pyatt, saved by McElhinney
  32. P2 3:32Shot by Hyman, saved by Condon
  33. P2 4:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Condon
  34. P2 4:29Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Condon
  35. P2 4:46Shot by Borowiecki, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 6:35Shot by Pageau, saved by McElhinney
  37. P2 7:36Shot by Brassard, saved by McElhinney
  38. P2 9:07Shot by Pageau, saved by McElhinney
  39. P2 9:15Goal by Phaneuf (Hoffman, Karlsson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Karlsson, Hoffman, Pageau · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Brown, Matthews

  40. P2 14:38Shot by Hunwick, saved by Condon
  41. P2 16:38Shot by Matthews, saved by Condon
  42. P2 17:24Shot by Dzingel, saved by McElhinney
  43. P2 17:44Shot by Polak, saved by Condon
  44. P2 18:10Goal by Turris (Ryan, Dzingel)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Nylander

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Condon
  48. P3 1:30Shot by Brassard, saved by McElhinney
  49. P3 1:50Shot by Brassard, saved by McElhinney
  50. P3 1:52Shot by Brassard, saved by McElhinney
  51. P3 2:31Goal by Kadri (Nylander, Hunwick)+25 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Dzingel · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Nylander

  52. P3 2:49Shot by Hyman, saved by Condon
  53. P3 3:48Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Condon
  54. P3 4:01Gauthier: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Kelly, Borowiecki, Wideman, Lazar · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Gauthier, Soshnikov

  55. P3 5:00Shot by Hoffman, saved by McElhinney5v4
  56. P3 5:09Shot by Hoffman, saved by McElhinney5v4
  57. P3 6:33Shot by Smith, saved by McElhinney
  58. P3 7:52Goal by Brown (Matthews)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Hyman, Brown, Matthews

  59. P3 8:10Shot by Kelly, saved by McElhinney
  60. P3 8:30Shot by Phaneuf, saved by McElhinney
  61. P3 8:35Shot by Stone, saved by McElhinney
  62. P3 8:49Shot by Wideman, saved by McElhinney
  63. P3 10:06Shot by Hyman, saved by Condon
  64. P3 11:30Dzingel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Turris, Borowiecki, Wideman, Dzingel · TOR Martin, Rielly, Gauthier, Soshnikov, Zaitsev

  65. P3 11:30Zaitsev: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Turris, Borowiecki, Wideman, Dzingel · TOR Martin, Rielly, Gauthier, Soshnikov, Zaitsev

  66. P3 12:14Shot by Brassard, saved by McElhinney4v4
  67. P3 12:29Shot by Brassard, saved by McElhinney4v4
  68. P3 12:47Shot by Brown, saved by Condon4v4
  69. P3 13:03Shot by Stone, saved by McElhinney4v4
  70. P3 14:24Shot by Matthews, saved by Condon
  71. P3 17:22Shot by Hyman, saved by Condon
  72. P3 19:16Shot by Hoffman, saved by McElhinney6v5
  73. P3 19:39Shot by Phaneuf, saved by McElhinney6v5
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final