Sat, Jan 14, 2017·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 67% of the time.
57%
10%
8%
25%
OTT winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Brown–Matthews | van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner | Komarov–Kadri–Nylander | Martin–Gauthier–Soshnikov | Rielly–Zaitsev | Gardiner–Carrick | Polak–Hunwick | Polak–Gardiner | Hunwick–Gardiner | Gardiner–Rielly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brassard–Smith–Stone | 1:320.03–0.06 | 8:510.42–0.12 | 2:340.21–0.01 | 0:560.05–0.00 | 8:550.43–0.03 | 2:260.03–0.14 | 2:570.08–0.01 | |||
| Pyatt–Hoffman–Pageau | 9:310.28–0.45 | 1:320.07–0.03 | 1:070.12–0.00 | 4:330.18–0.13 | 6:250.22–0.20 | 1:360.07–0.15 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||
| Ryan–Turris–Dzingel | 0:350.64–0.00 | 1:430.10–0.24 | 6:580.04–0.37 | 1:470.06–0.08 | 3:060.17–0.22 | 3:240.64–0.14 | 3:500.03–0.34 | 1:130.00–0.00 | ||
| Neil–Kelly–Lazar | 0:400.01–0.00 | 3:230.14–0.06 | 1:040.02–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.01 | 3:070.19–0.05 | |||||
| Methot–Karlsson | 6:170.37–0.14 | 2:380.20–0.12 | 0:300.10–0.00 | 5:310.35–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.14 | 2:570.15–0.12 | ||||
| Phaneuf–Ceci | 6:040.65–0.28 | 0:590.05–0.15 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 2:170.05–0.28 | 4:480.65–0.18 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||
| Phaneuf–Karlsson | 3:470.24–0.07 | 1:440.07–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 2:480.06–0.00 | 2:300.19–0.07 | 2:290.14–0.01 | ||||
| Borowiecki–Ceci | 1:240.09–0.15 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 2:490.01–0.08 | 1:420.01–0.00 | 2:500.09–0.03 | 1:160.00–0.20 | ||||
| Borowiecki–Wideman | 0:370.00–0.00 | 3:230.08–0.12 | 2:340.08–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 1:040.00–0.11 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||
| Methot–Ceci | 1:140.00–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.03 | 1:010.00–0.01 | 2:390.00–0.03 | 1:130.00–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||
| Karlsson–Borowiecki | 0:570.10–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.17 | 0:400.12–0.00 | 1:520.14–0.06 | 0:440.00–0.11 | |||||
| Karlsson–Wideman | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:140.10–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Phaneuf–Wideman | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:090.07–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:320.04–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 32 | 29:19 | 0:55 | 2:36 | 7 | 5 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 36 | 27:05 | 0:45 | 3:05 | 4 | 8 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 32 | 25:40 | 0:48 | 3:05 | 3 | 7 |
 Dion PhaneufOTT | 32 | 23:39 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 8 | 3 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 30 | 23:01 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 4 | 7 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 24 | 21:13 | 0:53 | 2:21 | 7 | 3 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 24 | 21:01 | 0:53 | 2:21 | 7 | 3 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 25 | 20:10 | 0:48 | 1:43 | 5 | 3 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 26 | 19:43 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 4 | 3 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 25 | 19:20 | 0:46 | 2:21 | 6 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 22 | 17:55 | 0:49 | 2:21 | 4 | 3 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 24 | 17:39 | 0:44 | 2:09 | 3 | 7 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 22 | 17:08 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 7 | 4 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 23 | 17:07 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 6 | 2 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 26 | 16:55 | 0:39 | 1:30 | 4 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 16:26 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 4 | 0 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 25 | 16:20 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 5 | 1 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 23 | 16:16 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 4 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 21 | 16:15 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 9 | 3 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 22 | 16:15 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 5 | 1 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 21 | 15:42 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 3 | 4 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 24 | 15:33 | 0:39 | 1:22 | 5 | 2 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 24 | 15:32 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 3 | 5 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 22 | 15:15 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 5 | 2 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 20 | 15:11 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 9 | 3 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 23 | 15:02 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 4 | 3 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 22 | 14:37 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 5 | 3 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 26 | 14:17 | 0:33 | 0:58 | 2 | 6 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 13:42 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 2 | 4 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 21 | 12:38 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 8 | 1 |
 Nikita SoshnikovTOR | 18 | 11:14 | 0:37 | 1:16 | 0 | 1 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 16 | 9:43 | 0:36 | 0:58 | 0 | 1 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 15 | 8:53 | 0:36 | 0:58 | 0 | 1 |
 Chris KellyOTT | 14 | 6:58 | 0:30 | 1:01 | 3 | 2 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 13 | 6:18 | 0:29 | 1:01 | 3 | 1 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 12 | 5:49 | 0:29 | 1:00 | 3 | 1 |