Sat, Jan 14, 2017·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 67% of the time.
57%
10%
8%
25%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 27:05 | 0.09 | 29.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:40 | 0.04 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.05 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:55 | 0.71 | 56.0% | +38.6 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.22 | 36.3% | +30.3 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.04 | 34.3% | +18.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.25 | 34.7% | +18.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:16 | 0.32 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.06 | 36.3% | +16.6 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.03 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.11 | 50.6% | +24.9 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.03 | 36.3% | +13.7 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.03 | 59.8% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.00 | 56.2% | +24.9 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.09 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Frederik GauthierC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:43 | 0.03 | 28.8% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:53 | 0.03 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Curtis McElhinney#35 | W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 3.08 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 29:19 | 0.10 | 72.5% | +17.8 |
 Dion PhaneufD · #2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:39 | 0.11 | 67.1% | +17.8 |
 Cody CeciD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:01 | 0.02 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Derick BrassardC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21:13 | 0.56 | 81.2% | 0.0 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21:01 | 0.47 | 79.0% | 0.0 |
 Mike HoffmanC · #68 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.33 | 49.1% | +17.8 |
 Kyle TurrisC · #7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.09 | 54.5% | +22.5 |
 Zack SmithC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.03 | 80.7% | 0.0 |
 Marc MethotD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.05 | 65.5% | 0.0 |
 Tom PyattLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.07 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.30 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
 Bobby RyanRW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.37 | 56.8% | +22.5 |
 Ryan DzingelC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.27 | 55.2% | +22.5 |
 Mark BorowieckiD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.02 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
 Chris WidemanD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.10 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 Chris KellyC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:58 | 0.10 | 72.8% | 0.0 |
 Chris NeilRW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:18 | 0.09 | 78.7% | 0.0 |
 Curtis LazarC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:49 | 0.02 | 72.8% | 0.0 |
 Mike Condon#1 | L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.12 | −1.9 | 58:17 |