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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 21, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Condon
  3. P1 1:29Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:43Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  5. P1 2:36Shot by Carrick, saved by Condon
  6. P1 4:59Shot by Wideman, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 5:08Shot by Lazar, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 5:36Zaitsev: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Marincin, Nylander, Zaitsev · OTT Neil, Methot, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson

  9. P1 6:36Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen4v5
  10. P1 6:46Shot by Turris, saved by Andersen4v5
  11. P1 7:04Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen4v5
  12. P1 7:31Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen4v5
  13. P1 10:24Zaitsev: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Marincin, Nylander, Zaitsev · OTT Methot, Turris, Wideman, Stone, Dzingel

  14. P1 10:22Shot by Methot, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 12:44Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 14:02Goal by Ryan (Methot, Neil)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner · OTT Neil, Methot, Ryan, Turris, Ceci

  17. P1 14:08Methot: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Hyman, Brown, Matthews · OTT Kelly, Methot, Karlsson, Dzingel, Lazar

  18. P1 14:56Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Condon5v4
  19. P1 15:05Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Condon5v4
  20. P1 15:57Shot by Gardiner, saved by Condon5v4
  21. P1 16:16Shot by Claesson, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 18:02Shot by Nylander, saved by Condon
  23. P1 18:29Komarov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Nylander · OTT Ryan, Turris, Wideman, Dzingel, Claesson

  24. P1 18:59Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen4v5
  25. P1 19:03Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:11Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen4v5
  29. P2 0:19Shot by Turris, saved by Andersen4v5
  30. P2 0:22Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen4v5
  31. P2 2:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Condon
  32. P2 3:37Shot by Wideman, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 4:39Shot by Marincin, saved by Condon
  34. P2 4:48Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  35. P2 6:02Phaneuf: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Hyman, Brown, Matthews · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci

  36. P2 6:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Condon5v4
  37. P2 7:11Shot by Marner, saved by Condon5v4
  38. P2 7:31Goal by Bozak (van Riemsdyk, Kadri)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev · OTT Kelly, Methot, Pyatt, Karlsson

  39. P2 8:11Shot by Brown, saved by Condon
  40. P2 8:33Shot by Hyman, saved by Condon
  41. P2 11:51Shot by Gardiner, saved by Condon
  42. P2 11:53Shot by Hyman, saved by Condon
  43. P2 13:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Condon
  44. P2 14:28Ryan: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Hyman, Brown, Matthews · OTT Methot, Ryan, Turris, Dzingel, Ceci

  45. P2 14:53Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Condon5v4
  46. P2 15:07Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Condon5v4
  47. P2 16:08Shot by Nylander, saved by Condon5v4
  48. P2 18:19Shot by Nylander, saved by Condon5v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:08Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 3:02Shot by Marincin, saved by Condon
  53. P3 4:41Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 4:45Shot by Wideman, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 5:48Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Condon
  56. P3 5:52Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Condon
  57. P3 7:00Goal by Martin (Gardiner, Kadri)+34 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Martin, Kadri, Marincin, Nylander, Zaitsev · OTT Brassard, Smith, Karlsson, Stone, Claesson

  58. P3 7:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Condon
  59. P3 9:54Shot by Turris, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 10:02Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 15:24Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  62. P3 16:03Shot by Wideman, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 16:20Shot by Brown, saved by Condon
  64. P3 17:13Marincin: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Marincin, Soshnikov, Matthews, Zaitsev · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel

  65. P3 18:49Goal by Hoffman (Karlsson, Phaneuf)4v6+45 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Brown, Soshnikov · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Dzingel

  66. P3 19:57Shot by Turris, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 0:30Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen3v3
  70. OT 1:02Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Condon3v3
  71. OT 1:50Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen3v3
  72. OT 2:28Shot by Brown, saved by Condon3v3
  73. OT 3:28Shot by Gardiner, saved by Condon3v3
  74. OT 3:41Shot by Hunwick, saved by Condon3v3
  75. OT 5:00Period end
  76. SO Period start
  77. SO Shot by Matthews, saved by Condonother
  78. SO Goal by Ryan, unassistedother
  79. SO Goal by Marner, unassistedother
  80. SO Shot by Turris, saved by Andersenother
  81. SO Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersenother
  82. SO Shot by Bozak, saved by Condonother
  83. SO Goal by Pyatt, unassistedother
  84. SO Period end
  85. SO Final